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Championship · Matchweek 14 · 4 November 2026 · 19:45

Cardiff vs West Ham tip, odds and prediction, 4 November 2026, Championship

LWDWL
VS
1Cardiff3.40
XDraw4.25
2West Ham2.01

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 00:30

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Cardiff v West Ham takes place on 4 November 2026 · 19:45 at Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff). We back West Ham (49%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Cardiff vs West Ham: tip and prediction
Result
West Ham to win
2.01
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.85
49%chance of the result
52%goals tip: chance
1–2likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or West Ham (X2) – probability 72%, odds up to 1.34.

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Cardiff vs West Ham: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.404.252.01
Market average3.374.031.93
Lowest odds3.253.901.86
Megapari3.254.051.94
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.131.0985.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.401.3768.1%
Under 2.5 goals3.102.9331.9%
Over 3.5 goals2.011.9647.9%
BTTS – yes1.401.3767.6%
BTTS – no3.002.8732.4%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 00:30. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.4%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Cardiff 1–2 West Ham, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Cardiff 17th (14 points), West Ham 8th (22 points).
  • Form in the competition: Cardiff 3W 5D 5L (19:20), West Ham 6W 4D 3L (33:18).
  • H2H: 9 matches: Cardiff 2W 0D 7L, goals 6–17.
  • Absences: Cardiff 4, West Ham 2.

Who will win Cardiff vs West Ham?

Cardiff28%
Draw23%
West Ham49%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Cardiff vs West Ham: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals85.5% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.13
Likely
Draw or West Ham (X2)72.1% · fair odds 1.39 · best 1.34
Likely
Over 2.5 goals68.1% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.40
Likely
Both teams score: yes67.6% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.40
Likely
Under 3.5 goals52.1% · fair odds 1.92 · best 1.85
Possible
West Ham to win48.8% · fair odds 2.05 · best 2.01
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals47.9% · fair odds 2.09 · best 2.01
Outsider
Both teams score: no32.4% · fair odds 3.09 · best 3.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals31.9% · fair odds 3.14 · best 3.10
Outsider
Cardiff to win27.9% · fair odds 3.59 · best 3.40
Outsider
Draw23.3% · fair odds 4.29 · best 4.25
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.80 · Under 1.95
probability of over 52.0%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 29.1%
1 : 19.1%
2 : 26.8%
2 : 16.8%
1 : 36.0%
0 : 26.0%

Cardiff vs West Ham: injuries, suspensions, absences

Cardiff

  • C. Chambersknee injury · will miss the match
  • D. Lawlorhamstring injury · will miss the match
  • K. Bieliknot in the squad · doubtful
  • C. Robinsonnot in the squad · doubtful

West Ham

  • K. Mavropanosknee injury · will miss the match
  • K. Lamadridinjury · doubtful

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Cardiff vs West Ham: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Middlesbrough138-4-130:1728
2Swansea138-2-320:1326
3Wolves137-3-323:1624
4West Brom137-3-319:1424
5Southampton138-3-228:1323
6Birmingham136-5-223:1323
7Stoke City137-2-420:1623
8West Ham136-4-333:1822
9QPR135-5-321:1620
10Sheffield Utd135-4-417:1519
11Portsmouth135-4-416:1519
12Millwall135-3-523:2118
13Blackburn135-3-519:2018
14Bristol City135-3-515:1718
15Norwich135-0-823:2415
16Lincoln134-3-614:2315
17Cardiff133-5-519:2014
18Wrexham133-5-515:1914
19Bolton134-2-718:2614
20Charlton133-5-511:2114
21Watford133-2-812:2311
22Burnley131-6-617:259
23Derby131-4-811:257
24Preston131-2-1010:275

Recent matches

Cardiff

31 OctLWolves 3–0 Cardiff
24 OctWCardiff 1–0 Birmingham
17 OctDMiddlesbrough 2–2 Cardiff
13 OctWCardiff 5–1 Watford
10 OctLBlackburn 2–1 Cardiff

West Ham

31 OctLWest Ham 1–3 West Brom
24 OctLWest Ham 2–3 Southampton
17 OctWSwansea 0–1 West Ham
14 OctWLincoln 0–6 West Ham
9 OctDWest Ham 1–1 QPR

Home and away

Cardiff at home6 matches: 3W 3D 0L, goals 13–6
West Ham away6 matches: 3W 3D 0L, goals 15–7

Cardiff vs West Ham: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Cardiff: 17th, 14 points from 13 matches (3W 5D 5L). West Ham: 8th, 22 points (6W 4D 3L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Cardiff 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded, West Ham 2.5 scored and 1.4 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Cardiff: 3W 5D 5L, goals 19–20; West Ham: 6W 4D 3L, goals 33–18.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 9 meetings: Cardiff 2 wins, West Ham 7 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 6–17.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (9.1%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.85), with a probability of 52% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 68% and over 2.5 goals is 68%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 9; Cardiff 2 wins, 0 draws, West Ham 7 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Cardiff 19–20, West Ham 33–18.
  4. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 68%.
  5. Not available: Cardiff 4, West Ham 2.

Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals

Other option: Over 3.5 goals (probability 48%, odds up to 2.01). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Cardiff: C. Chambers, D. Lawlor, K. Bielik, C. Robinson. Not available for West Ham: K. Mavropanos, K. Lamadrid. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Cardiff vs West Ham: the numbers side by side

CardiffWest Ham
50%Form50%
45%Attack55%
47%Defence53%
20%Head to head80%
33%Goals67%
39.8%Overall60.2%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

CardiffLWDWL
West HamLLWWD

Cardiff vs West Ham: head to head

All matches
2Cardiff
0Draws
7West Ham
9/3/19 · Cardiff 2–0 West Ham
4/12/18 · West Ham 3–1 Cardiff
11/1/14 · Cardiff 0–2 West Ham
24/9/13 · West Ham 3–2 Cardiff
17/8/13 · West Ham 2–0 Cardiff
7/5/12 · West Ham 3–0 Cardiff

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.4%

Cardiff vs West Ham: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Cardiff vs West Ham?

On the result, our pick is West Ham to win (2.01); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.85). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or West Ham (X2).

Who will win Cardiff vs West Ham?

As we see it: Cardiff to win 28%, the draw 23%, West Ham to win 49%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

4 November 2026, 19:45, at Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff.

Who will be missing?

Cardiff: C. Chambers, D. Lawlor, K. Bielik, C. Robinson. West Ham: K. Mavropanos, K. Lamadrid. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 68% chance (odds 1.40), against 32% for under 2.5 (odds 3.10).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 68% (odds 1.40).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–2 (9.1%), 1–1 (9.1%), 2–2 (6.8%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Watford vs Lincoln 3 NovPreston vs Sheffield Utd 3 NovBlackburn vs Stoke City 3 NovDerby vs Norwich 3 NovQPR vs Burnley 3 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.