Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Stoke City v Bristol City takes place on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at bet365 Stadium (Stoke-On-Trent); James Bell, England will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Stoke City vs Bristol City: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.47 | 3.35 | 3.24 |
| Market average | 2.37 | 3.24 | 3.03 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.34 | 69.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.16 | 2.06 | 45.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.78 | 1.74 | 54.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.62 | 25.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.79 | 51.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.93 | 48.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 13:58. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Stoke City 1–1 Bristol City, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Stoke City 7th (23 points), Bristol City 14th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Stoke City 6W 1D 4L (18:16), Bristol City 4W 2D 5L (12:15).
- H2H: 18 matches: Stoke City 6W 3D 9L, goals 22–23.
- Absences: Stoke City 5, Bristol City 3.
Who will win Stoke City vs Bristol City?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Stoke City vs Bristol City: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Stoke City vs Bristol City: injuries, suspensions, absences
Stoke City
- A. Ampahknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Bocatinjury · will miss the match
- A. Cresswellknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Gallagherinjury · will miss the match
- S. Ingelssonmuscle injury · will miss the match
Bristol City
- R. Dickieknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Eileillness · will miss the match
- E. Adebayonot in the squad · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Stoke City vs Bristol City: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 | |
| 2 | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 | |
| 5 | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 | |
| 7 | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 | |
| 8 | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 | |
| 12 | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 | |
| 13 | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 | |
| 14 | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 | |
| 15 | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 | |
| 16 | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 | |
| 17 | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 | |
| 19 | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 | |
| 20 | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 | |
| 22 | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 | |
| 23 | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 | |
| 24 | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Stoke City
Home and away
Stoke City vs Bristol City: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Stoke City: 7th, 23 points from 13 matches (7W 2D 4L). Bristol City: 14th, 18 points (5W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Stoke City 1.6 scored and 1.5 conceded, Bristol City 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Stoke City: 6W 1D 4L, goals 18–16; Bristol City: 4W 2D 5L, goals 12–15.
- Head to head. Head to head over 18 meetings: Stoke City 6 wins, Bristol City 9 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 22–23.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.7%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.78), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 46%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 18; Stoke City 6 wins, 3 draws, Bristol City 9 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Stoke City 18–16, Bristol City 12–15.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 46%.
- Not available: Stoke City 5, Bristol City 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 52%, odds up to 1.83). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Stoke City: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher, S. Ingelsson. Not available for Bristol City: R. Dickie, N. Eile, E. Adebayo. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Stoke City vs Bristol City: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Stoke City vs Bristol City: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Stoke City vs Bristol City: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Stoke City vs Bristol City?
On the result, our pick is Stoke City or draw (1X) (1.44); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.78). Prefer less risk? Go for Stoke City or draw (1X).
Who will win Stoke City vs Bristol City?
As we see it: Stoke City to win 40%, the draw 29%, Bristol City to win 31%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 15:00, at bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent. Referee: James Bell, England.
Who will be missing?
Stoke City: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher, S. Ingelsson. Bristol City: R. Dickie, N. Eile, E. Adebayo. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 46% chance (odds 2.16), against 54% for under 2.5 (odds 1.78).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.83).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.7%), 1–0 (11.1%), 0–1 (9.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
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