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Championship · Matchweek 12 · 24 October 2026 · 15:00

Stoke City vs Bristol City tip, odds and prediction, 24 October 2026, Championship

0–0
1Stoke City2.47
XDraw3.35
2Bristol City3.24

Top odds available · Updated 24/10/26, 13:58

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Stoke City v Bristol City takes place on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at bet365 Stadium (Stoke-On-Trent); James Bell, England will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Stoke City vs Bristol City: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Stoke City or draw (1X)
1.44
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.78
69%chance of the result
54%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Stoke City vs Bristol City: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.473.353.24
Market average2.373.243.03
Lowest odds2.253.002.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.371.3469.9%
Over 2.5 goals2.162.0645.8%
Under 2.5 goals1.781.7454.2%
Over 3.5 goals4.003.6225.8%
BTTS – yes1.831.7951.9%
BTTS – no2.001.9348.1%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 13:58. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.1%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Stoke City 1–1 Bristol City, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Stoke City 7th (23 points), Bristol City 14th (18 points).
  • Form in the competition: Stoke City 6W 1D 4L (18:16), Bristol City 4W 2D 5L (12:15).
  • H2H: 18 matches: Stoke City 6W 3D 9L, goals 22–23.
  • Absences: Stoke City 5, Bristol City 3.

Who will win Stoke City vs Bristol City?

Stoke City40%
Draw29%
Bristol City31%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Stoke City vs Bristol City: more betting markets

Under 3.5 goals74.2% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.30
Likely
Over 1.5 goals69.9% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.37
Likely
Stoke City or draw (1X)68.9% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.44
Likely
Under 2.5 goals54.2% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.78
Possible
Both teams score: yes51.9% · fair odds 1.93 · best 1.83
Possible
Both teams score: no48.1% · fair odds 2.08 · best 2.00
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals45.8% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.16
Outsider
Stoke City to win39.8% · fair odds 2.52 · best 2.47
Outsider
Bristol City to win31.1% · fair odds 3.22 · best 3.24
Outsider
Draw29.1% · fair odds 3.43 · best 3.35
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals25.8% · fair odds 3.88 · best 4.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.10 · Under 1.67
probability of over 44.3%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.81 · Under 1.93
probability of over 51.6%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.7%
1 : 011.1%
0 : 19.4%
2 : 18.6%
0 : 08.2%
2 : 07.5%

Stoke City vs Bristol City: injuries, suspensions, absences

Stoke City

  • A. Ampahknee injury · will miss the match
  • E. Bocatinjury · will miss the match
  • A. Cresswellknee injury · will miss the match
  • S. Gallagherinjury · will miss the match
  • S. Ingelssonmuscle injury · will miss the match

Bristol City

  • R. Dickieknee injury · will miss the match
  • N. Eileillness · will miss the match
  • E. Adebayonot in the squad · doubtful

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Stoke City vs Bristol City: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Middlesbrough138-4-130:1728
2Swansea138-2-320:1326
3Wolves137-3-323:1624
4West Brom137-3-319:1424
5Southampton138-3-228:1323
6Birmingham136-5-223:1323
7Stoke City137-2-420:1623
8West Ham136-4-333:1822
9QPR135-5-321:1620
10Sheffield Utd135-4-417:1519
11Portsmouth135-4-416:1519
12Millwall135-3-523:2118
13Blackburn135-3-519:2018
14Bristol City135-3-515:1718
15Norwich135-0-823:2415
16Lincoln134-3-614:2315
17Cardiff133-5-519:2014
18Wrexham133-5-515:1914
19Bolton134-2-718:2614
20Charlton133-5-511:2114
21Watford133-2-812:2311
22Burnley131-6-617:259
23Derby131-4-811:257
24Preston131-2-1010:275

Recent matches

Stoke City

31 OctWStoke City 2–0 Preston
24 OctDStoke City 0–0 Bristol City
17 OctWDerby 0–1 Stoke City
13 OctLStoke City 2–3 Middlesbrough
10 OctWBolton 1–2 Stoke City

Bristol City

31 OctWBolton 2–3 Bristol City
24 OctDStoke City 0–0 Bristol City
17 OctLBristol City 0–1 Sheffield Utd
13 OctLBristol City 0–1 Blackburn
10 OctDCharlton 1–1 Bristol City

Home and away

Stoke City at home7 matches: 4W 1D 2L, goals 12–6
Bristol City away7 matches: 3W 3D 1L, goals 12–11

Stoke City vs Bristol City: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Stoke City: 7th, 23 points from 13 matches (7W 2D 4L). Bristol City: 14th, 18 points (5W 3D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Stoke City 1.6 scored and 1.5 conceded, Bristol City 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Stoke City: 6W 1D 4L, goals 18–16; Bristol City: 4W 2D 5L, goals 12–15.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 18 meetings: Stoke City 6 wins, Bristol City 9 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 22–23.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.7%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.78), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 46%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 18; Stoke City 6 wins, 3 draws, Bristol City 9 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.5 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Stoke City 18–16, Bristol City 12–15.
  4. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 46%.
  5. Not available: Stoke City 5, Bristol City 3.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 52%, odds up to 1.83). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Stoke City: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher, S. Ingelsson. Not available for Bristol City: R. Dickie, N. Eile, E. Adebayo. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Stoke City vs Bristol City: the numbers side by side

Stoke CityBristol City
75%Form25%
82%Attack18%
40%Defence60%
50%Head to head50%
61%Goals39%
61.0%Overall39.0%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

Stoke CityWDWLW
Bristol CityWDLLD

Stoke City vs Bristol City: head to head

All matches
6Stoke City
3Draws
9Bristol City
24/10/26 · Stoke City 0–0 Bristol City
2/5/26 · Bristol City 2–0 Stoke City
1/11/25 · Stoke City 5–1 Bristol City
12/2/25 · Bristol City 2–0 Stoke City
22/10/24 · Stoke City 2–2 Bristol City
4/5/24 · Stoke City 4–0 Bristol City

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.1%

Stoke City vs Bristol City: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Stoke City vs Bristol City?

On the result, our pick is Stoke City or draw (1X) (1.44); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.78). Prefer less risk? Go for Stoke City or draw (1X).

Who will win Stoke City vs Bristol City?

As we see it: Stoke City to win 40%, the draw 29%, Bristol City to win 31%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

24 October 2026, 15:00, at bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent. Referee: James Bell, England.

Who will be missing?

Stoke City: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher, S. Ingelsson. Bristol City: R. Dickie, N. Eile, E. Adebayo. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 46% chance (odds 2.16), against 54% for under 2.5 (odds 1.78).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.83).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.7%), 1–0 (11.1%), 0–1 (9.4%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Watford vs Lincoln 3 NovPreston vs Sheffield Utd 3 NovBlackburn vs Stoke City 3 NovDerby vs Norwich 3 NovQPR vs Burnley 3 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.