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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 4 · 5 November 2026 · 20:00

AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus tip, odds and prediction, 5 November 2026, UEFA Europa League

1AZ Alkmaar3.90
XDraw3.84
2Juventus1.99

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 03:28

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AZ Alkmaar v Juventus takes place on 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar). We back Juventus (48%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: tip and prediction
Result
Juventus to win
1.99
Goals
Both teams to score
1.73
48%chance of the result
56%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Juventus (X2) – probability 74%, odds up to 1.30.

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AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.903.841.99
Market average3.663.581.94
Lowest odds3.213.081.85
Megapari3.863.841.96
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.271.2475.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.831.7853.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.092.0246.8%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.9232.2%
BTTS – yes1.731.6755.9%
BTTS – no2.202.1244.1%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:28. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.0%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Juventus, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: AZ Alkmaar 10th (6 points), Juventus 7th (7 points).
  • Form in the competition: AZ Alkmaar 2W 0D 1L (6:2), Juventus 2W 1D 0L (9:3).
  • Absences: AZ Alkmaar 0, Juventus 0.

Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?

AZ Alkmaar26%
Draw26%
Juventus48%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals75.8% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.27
Likely
Draw or Juventus (X2)74.4% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.30
Likely
Under 3.5 goals67.8% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.42
Likely
Both teams score: yes55.9% · fair odds 1.79 · best 1.73
Possible
Over 2.5 goals53.2% · fair odds 1.88 · best 1.83
Possible
Juventus to win48.2% · fair odds 2.07 · best 1.99
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals46.8% · fair odds 2.13 · best 2.09
Outsider
Both teams score: no44.1% · fair odds 2.27 · best 2.20
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.2% · fair odds 3.10 · best 3.00
Outsider
Draw26.2% · fair odds 3.82 · best 3.84
Outsider
AZ Alkmaar to win25.6% · fair odds 3.91 · best 3.90
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.87 · Under 1.84
probability of over 49.5%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.5%
0 : 110.0%
1 : 29.5%
0 : 28.3%
1 : 07.0%
2 : 16.6%

AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: injuries, suspensions, absences

AZ Alkmaar

  • No reported absences

Juventus

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Benfica33-0-010:29
2Bayer Leverkusen33-0-08:09
3Bournemouth33-0-08:19
4Ferencvárosi TC33-0-09:39
5Olympiakos Piraeus33-0-04:19
6Union St. Gilloise32-1-08:17
7Juventus32-1-09:37
8Beşiktaş32-1-09:57
9Sunderland32-1-04:27
10AZ Alkmaar32-0-16:26
11Omonia Nicosia32-0-15:46
12Lyon32-0-15:66
13Rennes31-2-04:35
14Real Sociedad31-1-18:34
15Crystal Palace31-1-18:54
16Sparta Praha31-1-15:34
17Levski Sofia31-1-13:34
18Dinamo Zagreb31-1-13:44
19Sturm Graz31-1-11:34
20NEC Nijmegen31-1-15:84
21Red Bull Salzburg31-1-13:64
22Anderlecht31-0-24:33
231899 Hoffenheim31-0-25:53
24AC Milan31-0-24:53
25Celta Vigo31-0-23:43
26OFI31-0-23:43
27Jagiellonia31-0-24:63
28Torreense31-0-24:73
29Celje30-1-22:71
30Hapoel Beer Sheva30-1-21:61
31Lillestrøm30-1-22:91
32Lech Poznań30-1-21:91
33Plzeň30-0-32:70
34Marseille30-0-31:60
35Celtic30-0-33:90
36Ararat-Armenia30-0-32:110

Recent matches

AZ Alkmaar

31 OctLAjax 1–0 AZ Alkmaar
25 OctLAZ Alkmaar 0–2 Twente
22 OctWArarat-Armenia 0–4 AZ Alkmaar
18 OctDCambuur 2–2 AZ Alkmaar
15 OctWAZ Alkmaar 2–1 Hapoel Beer Sheva

Juventus

1 NovWJuventus 2–0 Napoli
28 OctLGenoa 2–0 Juventus
25 OctWLecce 0–2 Juventus
22 OctDJuventus 2–2 Rennes
18 OctLJuventus 0–3 Lazio

Home and away

AZ Alkmaar at home1 match: 1W 0D 0L, goals 2–1
Juventus away1 match: 1W 0D 0L, goals 2–1

AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. AZ Alkmaar: 10th, 6 points from 3 matches (2W 0D 1L). Juventus: 7th, 7 points (2W 1D 0L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: AZ Alkmaar 2.0 scored and 0.7 conceded, Juventus 3.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. AZ Alkmaar: 2W 0D 1L, goals 6–2; Juventus: 2W 1D 0L, goals 9–3.

What to expect

We make Juventus the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.5%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.73), with a probability of 56% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 53%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. This competition, scored–conceded: AZ Alkmaar 6–2, Juventus 9–3.
  2. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 53%.
  3. Not available: AZ Alkmaar 0, Juventus 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 56%, odds up to 1.73). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for AZ Alkmaar: no absences. Not available for Juventus: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: the numbers side by side

AZ AlkmaarJuventus
46%Form54%
40%Attack60%
60%Defence40%
47.3%Overall52.8%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

AZ AlkmaarWWL
JuventusDWW

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.0%

AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?

On the result, our pick is Juventus to win (1.99); on goals, Both teams to score (1.73). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Juventus (X2).

Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?

As we see it: AZ Alkmaar to win 26%, the draw 26%, Juventus to win 48%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

5 November 2026, 20:00, at AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar.

Who will be missing?

AZ Alkmaar: no absences. Juventus: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 53% chance (odds 1.83), against 47% for under 2.5 (odds 2.09).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.73).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.5%), 0–1 (10.0%), 1–2 (9.5%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.