Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cambuur entertain AZ Alkmaar on 18 October 2026 · 13:30 at Kooi Stadion (Leeuwarden), with Stan Teuben the man in the middle. AZ Alkmaar (65%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 6.50 | 5.15 | 1.49 |
| Market average | 6.14 | 4.83 | 1.45 |
| Lowest odds | 5.50 | 4.60 | 1.44 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.08 | 85.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.37 | 67.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.08 | 2.87 | 32.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.03 | 1.99 | 47.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.49 | 62.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.43 | 38.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 12:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Cambuur 1–2 AZ Alkmaar, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Cambuur 9th (15 points), AZ Alkmaar 5th (20 points).
- Absences: Cambuur 0, AZ Alkmaar 0.
Who will win Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: injuries, suspensions, absences
Cambuur
- No reported absences
AZ Alkmaar
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 | |
| 8 | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 | |
| 13 | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 | |
| 15 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 | |
| 17 | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 | |
| 18 | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
Cambuur
Home and away
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Cambuur: 9th, 15 points from 11 matches (4W 3D 4L). AZ Alkmaar: 5th, 20 points (6W 2D 3L).
What to expect
We make AZ Alkmaar the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (9.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.53), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 68%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 68%.
- Not available: Cambuur 0, AZ Alkmaar 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 62%, odds up to 1.53). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Cambuur: no absences. Not available for AZ Alkmaar: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
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Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?
On the result, our pick is AZ Alkmaar to win (1.49); on goals, Both teams to score (1.53). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or AZ Alkmaar (X2).
Who will win Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?
As we see it: Cambuur to win 15%, the draw 20%, AZ Alkmaar to win 65%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
18 October 2026, 13:30, at Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden. Referee: Stan Teuben.
Who will be missing?
Cambuur: no absences. AZ Alkmaar: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 68% chance (odds 1.40), against 32% for under 2.5 (odds 3.08).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.53).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–2 (9.6%), 0–2 (8.8%), 1–1 (8.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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