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Eredivisie · Matchweek 9 · 18 October 2026 · 13:30

Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar tip, odds and prediction, 18 October 2026, Eredivisie

WWDWD
2–2
1Cambuur6.50
XDraw5.15
2AZ Alkmaar1.49

Top odds available · Updated 18/10/26, 12:00

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Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Cambuur entertain AZ Alkmaar on 18 October 2026 · 13:30 at Kooi Stadion (Leeuwarden), with Stan Teuben the man in the middle. AZ Alkmaar (65%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: tip and prediction
Result
AZ Alkmaar to win
1.49
Goals
Both teams to score
1.53
Combo
AZ Alkmaar & over 2.5 goals
2.04
49% · fair combo odds
65%chance of the result
62%goals tip: chance
1–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or AZ Alkmaar (X2) – probability 85%, odds up to 1.13.

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Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available6.505.151.49
Market average6.144.831.45
Lowest odds5.504.601.44
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.121.0885.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.401.3767.6%
Under 2.5 goals3.082.8732.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.031.9947.4%
BTTS – yes1.531.4962.0%
BTTS – no2.502.4338.0%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 12:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Cambuur 1–2 AZ Alkmaar, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Cambuur 9th (15 points), AZ Alkmaar 5th (20 points).
  • Absences: Cambuur 0, AZ Alkmaar 0.

Who will win Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?

Cambuur15%
Draw20%
AZ Alkmaar65%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals85.6% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.12
Likely
Draw or AZ Alkmaar (X2)84.6% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.13
Likely
Over 2.5 goals67.6% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.40
Likely
AZ Alkmaar to win65.0% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.49
Likely
Both teams score: yes62.0% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.53
Likely
Under 3.5 goals52.6% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.87
Possible
Over 3.5 goals47.4% · fair odds 2.11 · best 2.03
Outsider
Both teams score: no38.0% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.50
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals32.4% · fair odds 3.09 · best 3.08
Outsider
Draw19.6% · fair odds 5.10 · best 5.15
Outsider
Cambuur to win15.4% · fair odds 6.49 · best 6.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.76 · Under 1.98
probability of over 53.1%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 29.6%
0 : 28.8%
1 : 18.2%
1 : 37.6%
0 : 17.5%
0 : 36.9%

Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: injuries, suspensions, absences

Cambuur

  • No reported absences

AZ Alkmaar

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Feyenoord117-4-033:1225
2Ajax117-3-130:1324
3PSV Eindhoven117-2-235:1323
4Twente117-2-228:1023
5AZ Alkmaar116-2-320:1320
6Fortuna Sittard115-4-218:1819
7Heerenveen115-3-319:1318
8Groningen114-3-426:2415
9Cambuur114-3-423:2215
10GO Ahead Eagles113-5-323:2714
11Sparta Rotterdam113-3-520:2612
12Utrecht113-3-519:3112
13NEC Nijmegen112-5-417:1911
14PEC Zwolle113-2-612:2311
15Excelsior113-2-616:2811
16Telstar112-3-616:239
17ADO Den Haag111-3-713:246
18Willem II110-2-910:392

Recent matches

Cambuur

31 OctWCambuur 4–0 GO Ahead Eagles
24 OctWWillem II 1–6 Cambuur
18 OctDCambuur 2–2 AZ Alkmaar
11 OctWPEC Zwolle 0–1 Cambuur
19 SeptDADO Den Haag 1–1 Cambuur

AZ Alkmaar

31 OctLAjax 1–0 AZ Alkmaar
25 OctLAZ Alkmaar 0–2 Twente
22 OctWArarat-Armenia 0–4 AZ Alkmaar
18 OctDCambuur 2–2 AZ Alkmaar
15 OctWAZ Alkmaar 2–1 Hapoel Beer Sheva

Home and away

Cambuur at home6 matches: 2W 1D 3L, goals 12–15
AZ Alkmaar away6 matches: 3W 1D 2L, goals 11–8

Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Cambuur: 9th, 15 points from 11 matches (4W 3D 4L). AZ Alkmaar: 5th, 20 points (6W 2D 3L).

What to expect

We make AZ Alkmaar the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (9.6%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.53), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 68%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 68%.
  2. Not available: Cambuur 0, AZ Alkmaar 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 62%, odds up to 1.53). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Cambuur: no absences. Not available for AZ Alkmaar: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.9%

Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?

On the result, our pick is AZ Alkmaar to win (1.49); on goals, Both teams to score (1.53). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or AZ Alkmaar (X2).

Who will win Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?

As we see it: Cambuur to win 15%, the draw 20%, AZ Alkmaar to win 65%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

18 October 2026, 13:30, at Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden. Referee: Stan Teuben.

Who will be missing?

Cambuur: no absences. AZ Alkmaar: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 68% chance (odds 1.40), against 32% for under 2.5 (odds 3.08).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.53).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–2 (9.6%), 0–2 (8.8%), 1–1 (8.2%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle 6 NovFortuna Sittard vs Telstar 7 NovADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam 7 NovExcelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles 7 NovHeerenveen vs Feyenoord 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.