Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar takes place on 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium (Yerevan); Patrik Kolarič will referee. We back AZ Alkmaar (67%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 7.90 | 5.12 | 1.44 |
| Market average | 7.28 | 4.85 | 1.40 |
| Lowest odds | 5.03 | 4.00 | 1.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 81.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.54 | 61.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.42 | 39.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.49 | 2.36 | 40.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.78 | 1.75 | 53.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.99 | 46.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 22/10/26, 16:29. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Ararat-Armenia 0–2 AZ Alkmaar, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Ararat-Armenia 36th (0 points), AZ Alkmaar 10th (6 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Ararat-Armenia 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–4.
- Absences: Ararat-Armenia 0, AZ Alkmaar 0.
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: injuries, suspensions, absences
Ararat-Armenia
- No reported absences
AZ Alkmaar
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Ararat-Armenia
Home and away
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Ararat-Armenia: 36th, 0 points from 3 matches (0W 0D 3L). AZ Alkmaar: 10th, 6 points (2W 0D 1L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Ararat-Armenia 0 wins, AZ Alkmaar 1 win, plus 0 draws; goals 0–4.
What to expect
We make AZ Alkmaar the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–2 (10.8%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.60), with a probability of 61% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 53% and over 2.5 goals is 61%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 1; Ararat-Armenia 0 wins, 0 draws, AZ Alkmaar 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 4.0 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Not available: Ararat-Armenia 0, AZ Alkmaar 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Ararat-Armenia: no absences. Not available for AZ Alkmaar: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: head to head
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Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
On the result, our pick is AZ Alkmaar to win (1.44); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.60). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or AZ Alkmaar (X2).
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
As we see it: Ararat-Armenia to win 13%, the draw 20%, AZ Alkmaar to win 67%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
22 October 2026, 17:45, at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan. Referee: Patrik Kolarič.
Who will be missing?
Ararat-Armenia: no absences. AZ Alkmaar: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 61% chance (odds 1.60), against 39% for under 2.5 (odds 2.62).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 53% (odds 1.78).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–2 (10.8%), 1–2 (9.8%), 0–1 (9.6%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.