Bet with MINO CASINO →AZ Alkmaar and Groningen meet on 8 November 2026 · 15:45 at AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar). AZ Alkmaar (62%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.55 | 4.75 | 5.52 |
| Market average | 1.53 | 4.61 | 5.22 |
| Lowest odds | 1.50 | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| Megapari | 1.53 | 4.58 | 5.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.10 | 85.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.41 | 1.37 | 68.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.96 | 31.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.95 | 48.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.47 | 1.45 | 64.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.62 | 2.58 | 36.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:16. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.5%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Groningen, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: AZ Alkmaar 5th (20 points), Groningen 8th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: AZ Alkmaar 6W 2D 3L (20:13), Groningen 4W 3D 4L (26:24).
- H2H: 34 matches: AZ Alkmaar 16W 9D 9L, goals 52–35.
- Absences: AZ Alkmaar 0, Groningen 0.
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen: injuries, suspensions, absences
AZ Alkmaar
- No reported absences
Groningen
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 | Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
AZ Alkmaar
Home and away
AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. AZ Alkmaar: 5th, 20 points from 11 matches (6W 2D 3L). Groningen: 8th, 15 points (4W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: AZ Alkmaar 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded, Groningen 2.4 scored and 2.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. AZ Alkmaar: 6W 2D 3L, goals 20–13; Groningen: 4W 3D 4L, goals 26–24.
- Head to head. Head to head over 34 meetings: AZ Alkmaar 16 wins, Groningen 9 wins, plus 9 draws; goals 52–35.
What to expect
We make AZ Alkmaar the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.47), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 64% and over 2.5 goals is 68%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 34; AZ Alkmaar 16 wins, 9 draws, Groningen 9 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: AZ Alkmaar 20–13, Groningen 26–24.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 68%.
- Not available: AZ Alkmaar 0, Groningen 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 52%, odds up to 1.88). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for AZ Alkmaar: no absences. Not available for Groningen: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
AZ AlkmaarLLDLWGroningenLDLWWAZ Alkmaar vs Groningen: head to head
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AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?
On the result, our pick is AZ Alkmaar to win (1.55); on goals, Both teams to score (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for AZ Alkmaar or draw (1X).
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?
As we see it: AZ Alkmaar to win 62%, the draw 20%, Groningen to win 18%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
8 November 2026, 15:45, at AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar.
Who will be missing?
AZ Alkmaar: no absences. Groningen: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 68% chance (odds 1.41), against 32% for under 2.5 (odds 3.10).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 64% (odds 1.47).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.6%), 1–1 (8.3%), 2–0 (8.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.