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Serie A · Matchweek 11 · 7 November 2026 · 19:45

AS Roma vs Sassuolo tip, odds and prediction, 7 November 2026, Serie A

WWDWD
VS
1AS Roma1.37
XDraw5.96
2Sassuolo8.75

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 08:26

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AS Roma v Sassuolo takes place on 7 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stadio Olimpico (Rome). We back AS Roma (71%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

AS Roma vs Sassuolo: tip and prediction
Result
AS Roma to win
1.37
Goals
Both teams to score
1.67
Combo
AS Roma & over 2.5 goals
1.88
53% · fair combo odds
71%chance of the result
57%goals tip: chance
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: AS Roma or draw (1X) – probability 88%, odds up to 1.11.

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AS Roma vs Sassuolo: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.375.968.75
Market average1.335.457.81
Lowest odds1.304.845.90
Megapari1.365.968.75
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.141.1084.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.441.4067.3%
Under 2.5 goals3.022.8732.7%
Over 3.5 goals2.132.0446.7%
BTTS – yes1.671.6456.7%
BTTS – no2.252.1543.3%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:26. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.4%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: AS Roma 2–0 Sassuolo, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: AS Roma 3rd (24 points), Sassuolo 15th (8 points).
  • Form in the competition: AS Roma 7W 3D 0L (28:10), Sassuolo 2W 2D 5L (14:22).
  • H2H: 24 matches: AS Roma 13W 9D 2L, goals 45–26.
  • Absences: AS Roma 0, Sassuolo 5.

Who will win AS Roma vs Sassuolo?

AS Roma71%
Draw17%
Sassuolo12%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

AS Roma vs Sassuolo: more betting markets

AS Roma or draw (1X)87.8% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.11
Likely
Over 1.5 goals84.8% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.14
Likely
AS Roma to win70.5% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.37
Likely
Over 2.5 goals67.3% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.44
Likely
Both teams score: yes56.7% · fair odds 1.76 · best 1.67
Possible
Under 3.5 goals53.3% · fair odds 1.88 · best 1.83
Possible
Over 3.5 goals46.7% · fair odds 2.14 · best 2.13
Outsider
Both teams score: no43.3% · fair odds 2.31 · best 2.25
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals32.7% · fair odds 3.05 · best 3.02
Outsider
Draw17.3% · fair odds 5.77 · best 5.96
Outsider
Sassuolo to win12.2% · fair odds 8.23 · best 8.75
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

2 : 09.9%
2 : 19.4%
3 : 08.3%
1 : 07.9%
3 : 17.9%
1 : 17.5%

AS Roma vs Sassuolo: injuries, suspensions, absences

AS Roma

  • No reported absences

Sassuolo

  • I. Konébroken leg · will miss the match
  • E. Pieragnoloabsence · will miss the match
  • Fali Candéabsence · will miss the match
  • D. Bolocaabsence · will miss the match
  • Y. Pazabsence · will miss the match

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

AS Roma vs Sassuolo: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Lazio109-1-024:828
2Inter108-1-126:1325
3AS Roma107-3-028:1024
4Como107-2-118:823
5AC Milan106-3-121:1221
6Frosinone106-2-224:1420
7Juventus105-2-313:1017
8Napoli104-2-417:1314
9Bologna104-2-414:1314
10Torino104-1-514:1613
11Genoa104-1-510:1413
12Cagliari104-1-59:1513
13Atalanta93-2-416:1711
14Lecce103-0-711:219
15Sassuolo92-2-514:228
16Monza102-1-717:247
17Fiorentina91-2-611:215
18Parma91-2-65:155
19Udinese101-2-711:235
20Venezia101-0-96:203

Recent matches

AS Roma

31 OctWUdinese 2–5 AS Roma
27 OctWAS Roma 4–2 Cagliari
24 OctDNapoli 3–3 AS Roma
20 OctWAS Roma 4–0 Slovan Bratislava
17 OctWAS Roma 2–0 Genoa

Sassuolo

27 OctLSassuolo 2–6 Lazio
24 OctLComo 2–0 Sassuolo
16 OctLFrosinone 4–2 Sassuolo
11 OctDSassuolo 1–1 AC Milan
18 SeptLMonza 2–1 Sassuolo

Home and away

AS Roma at home5 matches: 4W 1D 0L, goals 14–5
Sassuolo away5 matches: 0W 1D 4L, goals 6–12

AS Roma vs Sassuolo: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. AS Roma: 3rd, 24 points from 10 matches (7W 3D 0L). Sassuolo: 15th, 8 points (2W 2D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: AS Roma 2.8 scored and 1.0 conceded, Sassuolo 1.6 scored and 2.4 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. AS Roma: 7W 3D 0L, goals 28–10; Sassuolo: 2W 2D 5L, goals 14–22.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 24 meetings: AS Roma 13 wins, Sassuolo 2 wins, plus 9 draws; goals 45–26.

What to expect

We make AS Roma the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.67), with a probability of 57% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 67%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 24; AS Roma 13 wins, 9 draws, Sassuolo 2 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: AS Roma 28–10, Sassuolo 14–22.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 67%.
  5. Not available: AS Roma 0, Sassuolo 5.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 57%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for AS Roma: no absences. Not available for Sassuolo: I. Koné, E. Pieragnolo, Fali Candé, D. Boloca, Y. Paz. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

AS Roma vs Sassuolo: the numbers side by side

AS RomaSassuolo
92%Form8%
70%Attack30%
68%Defence32%
80%Head to head20%
64%Goals36%
76.3%Overall23.7%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

AS RomaWWDWD
SassuoloLLLDL

AS Roma vs Sassuolo: head to head

All matches
13AS Roma
9Draws
2Sassuolo
10/1/26 · AS Roma 2–0 Sassuolo
26/10/25 · Sassuolo 0–1 AS Roma
17/3/24 · AS Roma 1–0 Sassuolo
3/12/23 · Sassuolo 1–2 AS Roma
12/3/23 · AS Roma 3–4 Sassuolo
9/11/22 · Sassuolo 1–1 AS Roma

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.4%

AS Roma vs Sassuolo: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for AS Roma vs Sassuolo?

On the result, our pick is AS Roma to win (1.37); on goals, Both teams to score (1.67). Prefer less risk? Go for AS Roma or draw (1X).

Who will win AS Roma vs Sassuolo?

As we see it: AS Roma to win 71%, the draw 17%, Sassuolo to win 12%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

7 November 2026, 19:45, at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Who will be missing?

AS Roma: no absences. Sassuolo: I. Koné, E. Pieragnolo, Fali Candé, D. Boloca, Y. Paz. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 67% chance (odds 1.44), against 33% for under 2.5 (odds 3.02).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.67).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–0 (9.9%), 2–1 (9.4%), 3–0 (8.3%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina 2 NovAtalanta vs Parma 2 NovVenezia vs Udinese 6 NovCagliari vs Frosinone 7 NovTorino vs Lecce 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.