Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Como v Sassuolo takes place on 24 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como); Davide Di Marco, Italy will referee. We back Como (64%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Como vs Sassuolo: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.52 | 5.20 | 6.38 |
| Market average | 1.49 | 4.84 | 5.84 |
| Lowest odds | 1.44 | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.10 | 85.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.41 | 1.37 | 68.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.20 | 2.98 | 31.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.95 | 49.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.53 | 36.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 12:03. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Como 2–1 Sassuolo, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Como 4th (23 points), Sassuolo 15th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Como 4W 2D 1L (12:7), Sassuolo 2W 2D 3L (12:14).
- H2H: 4 matches: Como 3W 0D 1L, goals 8–2.
- Absences: Como 5, Sassuolo 5.
Who will win Como vs Sassuolo?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Como vs Sassuolo: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Como vs Sassuolo: injuries, suspensions, absences
Como
- T. Chalobahinjury · will miss the match
- A. Diaothigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Keanabsence · will miss the match
- M. Liberaliabsence · will miss the match
- J. Rodriguezinjury · will miss the match
Sassuolo
- D. Bolocamuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Idzesmuscle injury · will miss the match
- I. Konebroken leg · will miss the match
- F. Leysenknee injury · will miss the match
- Y. Pazknee injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Como vs Sassuolo: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 | |
| 6 | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 | |
| 18 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 | |
| 19 | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 | |
| 20 | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Como
Home and away
Como vs Sassuolo: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Como: 4th, 23 points from 10 matches (7W 2D 1L). Sassuolo: 15th, 8 points (2W 2D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Como 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded, Sassuolo 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Como: 4W 2D 1L, goals 12–7; Sassuolo: 2W 2D 3L, goals 12–14.
- Head to head. Head to head over 4 meetings: Como 3 wins, Sassuolo 1 win, plus 0 draws; goals 8–2.
What to expect
We make Como the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 63% and over 2.5 goals is 69%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 4; Como 3 wins, 0 draws, Sassuolo 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Como 12–7, Sassuolo 12–14.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 69%.
- Not available: Como 5, Sassuolo 5.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 63%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Como: T. Chalobah, A. Diao, M. Kean, M. Liberali, J. Rodriguez. Not available for Sassuolo: D. Boloca, J. Idzes, I. Kone, F. Leysen, Y. Paz. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Como vs Sassuolo: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Como vs Sassuolo: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Como vs Sassuolo: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Como vs Sassuolo?
On the result, our pick is Como to win (1.52); on goals, Both teams to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Como or draw (1X).
Who will win Como vs Sassuolo?
As we see it: Como to win 64%, the draw 20%, Sassuolo to win 16%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 14:00, at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como. Referee: Davide Di Marco, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Como: T. Chalobah, A. Diao, M. Kean, M. Liberali, J. Rodriguez. Sassuolo: D. Boloca, J. Idzes, I. Kone, F. Leysen, Y. Paz. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 69% chance (odds 1.41), against 31% for under 2.5 (odds 3.20).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.6%), 2–0 (8.3%), 1–1 (8.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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