Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Inter and Fiorentina meet on 25 October 2026 · 11:30 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza (Milan), under referee Maurizio Mariani. Inter (71%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Inter vs Fiorentina: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.40 | 5.87 | 8.57 |
| Market average | 1.35 | 5.50 | 7.90 |
| Lowest odds | 1.30 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.10 | 84.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.39 | 67.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.04 | 2.89 | 32.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.11 | 2.03 | 47.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 57.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.18 | 42.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 08:58. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Inter 2–0 Fiorentina, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Inter 2nd (25 points), Fiorentina 17th (5 points).
- Form in the competition: Inter 6W 1D 0L (21:9), Fiorentina 1W 1D 5L (8:17).
- H2H: 36 matches: Inter 21W 7D 8L, goals 67–50.
- Absences: Inter 6, Fiorentina 4.
Who will win Inter vs Fiorentina?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Inter vs Fiorentina: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Inter vs Fiorentina: injuries, suspensions, absences
Inter
- C. Jonesthigh injury · will miss the match
- Luis Henriquethigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Martinezthigh injury · will miss the match
- B. Pavardthigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Spinaccenot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Stonesinjury · will miss the match
Fiorentina
- A. Attaabsence · will miss the match
- F. Parisiknee injury · will miss the match
- L. Ranieriabsence · will miss the match
- R. Sottilback injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Inter vs Fiorentina: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Inter
Home and away
Inter vs Fiorentina: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Inter: 2nd, 25 points from 10 matches (8W 1D 1L). Fiorentina: 17th, 5 points (1W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Inter 3.0 scored and 1.3 conceded, Fiorentina 1.1 scored and 2.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Inter: 6W 1D 0L, goals 21–9; Fiorentina: 1W 1D 5L, goals 8–17.
- Head to head. Head to head over 36 meetings: Inter 21 wins, Fiorentina 8 wins, plus 7 draws; goals 67–50.
What to expect
We make Inter the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.67), with a probability of 57% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 67%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 36; Inter 21 wins, 7 draws, Fiorentina 8 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Inter 21–9, Fiorentina 8–17.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 67%.
- Not available: Inter 6, Fiorentina 4.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 57%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Inter: C. Jones, Luis Henrique, L. Martinez, B. Pavard, M. Spinacce, J. Stones. Not available for Fiorentina: A. Atta, F. Parisi, L. Ranieri, R. Sottil. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Inter vs Fiorentina: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
InterLWWWWFiorentinaDLLLDInter vs Fiorentina: head to head
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Inter vs Fiorentina: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Inter vs Fiorentina?
On the result, our pick is Inter to win (1.40); on goals, Both teams to score (1.67). Prefer less risk? Go for Inter or draw (1X).
Who will win Inter vs Fiorentina?
As we see it: Inter to win 71%, the draw 17%, Fiorentina to win 12%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 11:30, at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan. Referee: Maurizio Mariani.
Who will be missing?
Inter: C. Jones, Luis Henrique, L. Martinez, B. Pavard, M. Spinacce, J. Stones. Fiorentina: A. Atta, F. Parisi, L. Ranieri, R. Sottil. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 67% chance (odds 1.42), against 33% for under 2.5 (odds 3.04).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–0 (9.9%), 2–1 (9.4%), 3–0 (8.3%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.