Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Inter v Shakhtar Donetsk takes place on 21 October 2026 · 20:00 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza (Milan); Harm Osmers will referee. We back Inter (77%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.27 | 7.01 | 11.60 |
| Market average | 1.24 | 6.54 | 10.99 |
| Lowest odds | 1.22 | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.07 | 86.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.33 | 70.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.16 | 29.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.90 | 50.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.71 | 1.69 | 55.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.07 | 45.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 21/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Inter 2–0 Shakhtar Donetsk, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Inter 20th (3 points), Shakhtar Donetsk 17th (4 points).
- H2H: 6 matches: Inter 3W 3D 0L, goals 8–0.
- Absences: Inter 0, Shakhtar Donetsk 0.
Who will win Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: injuries, suspensions, absences
Inter
- No reported absences
Shakhtar Donetsk
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3-0-0 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2-0-1 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2-0-1 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2-0-1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1-2-0 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atlético Madrid | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1-0-2 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 | Inter | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodø/Glimt | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0-1-2 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
Inter
Home and away
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Inter: 20th, 3 points from 3 matches (1W 0D 2L). Shakhtar Donetsk: 17th, 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 6 meetings: Inter 3 wins, Shakhtar Donetsk 0 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 8–0.
What to expect
We make Inter the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (10.3%). We expect goals and an open game.
The result only pays 1.27, so the goals markets are an option too: Both teams to score (odds 1.71), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 70%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 6; Inter 3 wins, 3 draws, Shakhtar Donetsk 0 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 1.3 per match.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 70%.
- Not available: Inter 0, Shakhtar Donetsk 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 55%, odds up to 1.71). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Inter: no absences. Not available for Shakhtar Donetsk: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: head to head
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Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
On the result, our pick is Inter to win (1.27); on goals, Both teams to score (1.71). Prefer less risk? Go for Inter or draw (1X).
Who will win Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
As we see it: Inter to win 77%, the draw 15%, Shakhtar Donetsk to win 9%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
21 October 2026, 20:00, at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan. Referee: Harm Osmers.
Who will be missing?
Inter: no absences. Shakhtar Donetsk: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 70% chance (odds 1.34), against 30% for under 2.5 (odds 3.40).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.71).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–0 (10.3%), 3–0 (9.5%), 2–1 (8.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.