Bet with MINO CASINO →Wrexham entertain Middlesbrough on 4 November 2026 · 19:45 at Racecourse Ground (Wrexham). Middlesbrough (54%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 4.33 | 4.18 | 1.80 |
| Market average | 4.21 | 3.94 | 1.75 |
| Lowest odds | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.70 |
| Megapari | 4.13 | 3.90 | 1.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.19 | 77.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.63 | 57.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.32 | 2.23 | 42.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.55 | 36.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.61 | 57.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.20 | 42.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 00:30. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.4%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Wrexham 1–1 Middlesbrough, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Wrexham 18th (14 points), Middlesbrough 1st (28 points).
- Form in the competition: Wrexham 3W 5D 5L (15:19), Middlesbrough 8W 4D 1L (30:17).
- H2H: 3 matches: Wrexham 0W 2D 1L, goals 3–4.
- Absences: Wrexham 4, Middlesbrough 2.
Who will win Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough: injuries, suspensions, absences
Wrexham
- N. Broadheadthigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Cacacecalf injury · will miss the match
- J. Windassankle injury · will miss the match
- S. Revanhamstring injury · doubtful
Middlesbrough
- A. Jonescalf injury · will miss the match
- R. Pukstasinjury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Wrexham
Home and away
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Wrexham: 18th, 14 points from 13 matches (3W 5D 5L). Middlesbrough: 1st, 28 points (8W 4D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Wrexham 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded, Middlesbrough 2.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Wrexham: 3W 5D 5L, goals 15–19; Middlesbrough: 8W 4D 1L, goals 30–17.
- Head to head. Head to head over 3 meetings: Wrexham 0 wins, Middlesbrough 1 win, plus 2 draws; goals 3–4.
What to expect
We make Middlesbrough the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 3; Wrexham 0 wins, 2 draws, Middlesbrough 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Wrexham 15–19, Middlesbrough 30–17.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Not available: Wrexham 4, Middlesbrough 2.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, odds up to 1.65). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Wrexham: N. Broadhead, L. Cacace, J. Windass, S. Revan. Not available for Middlesbrough: A. Jones, R. Pukstas. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
WrexhamLLWLDMiddlesbroughWWDWWWrexham vs Middlesbrough: head to head
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Wrexham vs Middlesbrough: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
On the result, our pick is Middlesbrough to win (1.80); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.53). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Middlesbrough (X2).
Who will win Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
As we see it: Wrexham to win 22%, the draw 24%, Middlesbrough to win 54%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
4 November 2026, 19:45, at Racecourse Ground, Wrexham.
Who will be missing?
Wrexham: N. Broadhead, L. Cacace, J. Windass, S. Revan. Middlesbrough: A. Jones, R. Pukstas. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.65), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.32).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.6%), 1–2 (9.8%), 0–1 (9.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.