West Brom v Southampton takes place on 3 November 2026 · 20:00 at The Hawthorns (West Bromwich); Josh Smith will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
West Brom vs Southampton: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.77 |
| Market average | 2.46 | 3.53 | 2.69 |
| Lowest odds | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
| Megapari | 2.44 | 3.52 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.20 | 78.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.68 | 56.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.15 | 43.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.72 | 2.63 | 35.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.54 | 60.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.35 | 39.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:15. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.3%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: West Brom 1–1 Southampton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: West Brom 4th (24 points), Southampton 5th (23 points).
- Form in the competition: West Brom 7W 3D 3L (19:14), Southampton 8W 3D 2L (28:13).
- H2H: 21 matches: West Brom 5W 4D 12L, goals 19–26.
- Absences: West Brom 3, Southampton 1.
Who will win West Brom vs Southampton?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
West Brom vs Southampton: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
West Brom vs Southampton: injuries, suspensions, absences
West Brom
- T. Collyerinjury · will miss the match
- N. Galvesknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Johnstonbroken leg · will miss the match
Southampton
- C. Larinhamstring injury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
West Brom vs Southampton: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 | |
| 2 | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 | |
| 5 | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 | |
| 7 | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 | |
| 8 | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 | |
| 12 | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 | |
| 13 | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 | |
| 14 | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 | |
| 15 | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 | |
| 16 | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 | |
| 17 | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 | |
| 19 | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 | |
| 20 | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 | |
| 22 | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 | |
| 23 | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 | |
| 24 | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
West Brom
Home and away
West Brom vs Southampton: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. West Brom: 4th, 24 points from 13 matches (7W 3D 3L). Southampton: 5th, 23 points (8W 3D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: West Brom 1.5 scored and 1.1 conceded, Southampton 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. West Brom: 7W 3D 3L, goals 19–14; Southampton: 8W 3D 2L, goals 28–13.
- Head to head. Head to head over 21 meetings: West Brom 5 wins, Southampton 12 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 19–26.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 56%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 21; West Brom 5 wins, 4 draws, Southampton 12 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.1 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: West Brom 19–14, Southampton 28–13.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Not available: West Brom 3, Southampton 1.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.55). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for West Brom: T. Collyer, N. Galves, M. Johnston. Not available for Southampton: C. Larin. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
West Brom vs Southampton: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
West Brom vs Southampton: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
West Brom vs Southampton: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for West Brom vs Southampton?
On the result, our pick is West Brom or draw (1X) (1.47); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for West Brom or draw (1X).
Who will win West Brom vs Southampton?
As we see it: West Brom to win 38%, the draw 27%, Southampton to win 35%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
3 November 2026, 20:00, at The Hawthorns, West Bromwich. Referee: Josh Smith.
Who will be missing?
West Brom: T. Collyer, N. Galves, M. Johnston. Southampton: C. Larin. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 56% chance (odds 1.73), against 44% for under 2.5 (odds 2.20).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.55).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.6%), 2–1 (8.7%), 1–0 (8.3%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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