Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Viking v Fredrikstad takes place on 17 October 2026 · 17:00 at SR-Bank Arena (Stavanger); Marius Grøtta, Norway will referee. We back Viking (70%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Viking vs Fredrikstad: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.38 | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| Market average | 1.34 | 5.46 | 7.11 |
| Lowest odds | 1.27 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.09 | 85.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.36 | 68.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.92 | 31.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.97 | 47.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.23 | 41.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 17/10/26, 12:15. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Viking 2–1 Fredrikstad, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Viking 1st (59 points), Fredrikstad 11th (29 points).
- H2H: 9 matches: Viking 6W 2D 1L, goals 17–9.
- Absences: Viking 0, Fredrikstad 0.
Who will win Viking vs Fredrikstad?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Viking vs Fredrikstad: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Viking vs Fredrikstad: injuries, suspensions, absences
Viking
- No reported absences
Fredrikstad
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Viking vs Fredrikstad: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Viking
Home and away
Viking vs Fredrikstad: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Viking: 1st, 59 points from 25 matches (19W 2D 4L). Fredrikstad: 11th, 29 points (8W 5D 12L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 9 meetings: Viking 6 wins, Fredrikstad 1 win, plus 2 draws; goals 17–9.
What to expect
We make Viking the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.62), with a probability of 58% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 68%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 9; Viking 6 wins, 2 draws, Fredrikstad 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.9 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 68%.
- Not available: Viking 0, Fredrikstad 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 58%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Viking: no absences. Not available for Fredrikstad: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Viking vs Fredrikstad: head to head
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Viking vs Fredrikstad: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Viking vs Fredrikstad?
On the result, our pick is Viking to win (1.38); on goals, Both teams to score (1.62). Prefer less risk? Go for Viking or draw (1X).
Who will win Viking vs Fredrikstad?
As we see it: Viking to win 70%, the draw 17%, Fredrikstad to win 13%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
17 October 2026, 17:00, at SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger. Referee: Marius Grøtta, Norway.
Who will be missing?
Viking: no absences. Fredrikstad: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 68% chance (odds 1.40), against 32% for under 2.5 (odds 3.10).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.4%), 2–0 (9.4%), 3–1 (7.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.