Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Molde v Fredrikstad takes place on 25 October 2026 · 18:15 at Aker Stadion (Molde); Ola Hobber Nilsen will referee. We back Molde (68%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Molde vs Fredrikstad: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.40 | 5.53 | 7.50 |
| Market average | 1.37 | 5.07 | 6.86 |
| Lowest odds | 1.33 | 4.75 | 6.38 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.10 | 84.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.38 | 67.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.03 | 2.88 | 32.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.99 | 47.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.57 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.25 | 41.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Molde 2–1 Fredrikstad, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Molde 3rd (43 points), Fredrikstad 11th (29 points).
- Form in the competition: Molde 12W 4D 7L (52:35), Fredrikstad 8W 5D 10L (28:36).
- H2H: 6 matches: Molde 2W 2D 2L, goals 14–8.
- Absences: Molde 6, Fredrikstad 3.
Who will win Molde vs Fredrikstad?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Molde vs Fredrikstad: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Molde vs Fredrikstad: injuries, suspensions, absences
Molde
- S. Diopnot in the squad · will miss the match
- S. Hanseninjury · will miss the match
- E. Hestadabsence · will miss the match
- V. Hoffknee injury · will miss the match
- M. KikkenborgAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- H. Stenevikinjury · will miss the match
Fredrikstad
- D. Eidabsence · will miss the match
- S. Kvileknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Nysveeninjury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Molde vs Fredrikstad: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 | Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Molde
Home and away
Molde vs Fredrikstad: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Molde: 3rd, 43 points from 25 matches (13W 4D 8L). Fredrikstad: 11th, 29 points (8W 5D 12L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Molde 2.3 scored and 1.5 conceded, Fredrikstad 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Molde: 12W 4D 7L, goals 52–35; Fredrikstad: 8W 5D 10L, goals 28–36.
- Head to head. Head to head over 6 meetings: Molde 2 wins, Fredrikstad 2 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 14–8.
What to expect
We make Molde the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.5%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.60), with a probability of 59% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 68%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 6; Molde 2 wins, 2 draws, Fredrikstad 2 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.7 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Molde 52–35, Fredrikstad 28–36.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 68%.
- Not available: Molde 6, Fredrikstad 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.60). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Molde: S. Diop, S. Hansen, E. Hestad, V. Hoff, M. Kikkenborg, H. Stenevik. Not available for Fredrikstad: D. Eid, S. Kvile, J. Nysveen. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Molde vs Fredrikstad: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
MoldeLWWDLFredrikstadLLLDDMolde vs Fredrikstad: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Molde vs Fredrikstad: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Molde vs Fredrikstad?
On the result, our pick is Molde to win (1.40); on goals, Both teams to score (1.60). Prefer less risk? Go for Molde or draw (1X).
Who will win Molde vs Fredrikstad?
As we see it: Molde to win 68%, the draw 18%, Fredrikstad to win 14%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 18:15, at Aker Stadion, Molde. Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen.
Who will be missing?
Molde: S. Diop, S. Hansen, E. Hestad, V. Hoff, M. Kikkenborg, H. Stenevik. Fredrikstad: D. Eid, S. Kvile, J. Nysveen. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 68% chance (odds 1.40), against 32% for under 2.5 (odds 3.03).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.60).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.5%), 2–0 (9.1%), 3–1 (7.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.