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UEFA Champions League · league phase, matchday 3 · 21 October 2026 · 20:00

Aston Villa vs Viking tip, odds and prediction, 21 October 2026, UEFA Champions League

3–1
LDLWD
1Aston Villa1.31
XDraw7.00
2Viking10.00

Top odds available · Updated 21/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Aston Villa v Viking takes place on 21 October 2026 · 20:00 at Villa Park (Birmingham); Sebastian Gishamer will referee. We back Aston Villa (75%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Aston Villa vs Viking: tip and prediction
Result
Aston Villa to win
1.31
Goals
Both teams to score
1.57
Combo
Aston Villa & over 2.5 goals
1.63
61% · fair combo odds
75%chance of the result
60%goals tip: chance
2–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Aston Villa or draw (1X) – probability 90%, odds up to 1.08.

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Aston Villa vs Viking: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.317.0010.00
Market average1.286.479.35
Lowest odds1.256.008.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.071.0489.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.281.2475.1%
Under 2.5 goals4.003.7524.9%
Over 3.5 goals1.741.6956.6%
BTTS – yes1.571.5460.4%
BTTS – no2.502.3539.6%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 21/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.7%.

All bookmakers →

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Aston Villa 2–1 Viking, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Aston Villa 2nd (9 points), Viking 33rd (1 point).
  • H2H: 1 match: Aston Villa 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–1.
  • Absences: Aston Villa 0, Viking 0.

Who will win Aston Villa vs Viking?

Aston Villa75%
Draw15%
Viking10%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Aston Villa vs Viking: more betting markets

Aston Villa or draw (1X)89.8% · fair odds 1.11 · best 1.08
Likely
Over 1.5 goals89.3% · fair odds 1.12 · best 1.07
Likely
Over 2.5 goals75.1% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.28
Likely
Aston Villa to win74.9% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.31
Likely
Both teams score: yes60.4% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 3.5 goals56.6% · fair odds 1.77 · best 1.74
Possible
Under 3.5 goals43.4% · fair odds 2.30 · best 2.27
Outsider
Both teams score: no39.6% · fair odds 2.53 · best 2.50
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals24.9% · fair odds 4.01 · best 4.00
Outsider
Draw14.8% · fair odds 6.75 · best 7.00
Outsider
Viking to win10.2% · fair odds 9.76 · best 10.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.93 · Under 1.82
probability of over 48.5%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.91 · Under 1.81
probability of over 48.8%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 18.5%
3 : 18.2%
2 : 08.1%
3 : 07.8%
4 : 16.0%
1 : 15.9%

Aston Villa vs Viking: injuries, suspensions, absences

Aston Villa

  • No reported absences

Viking

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Aston Villa vs Viking: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain33-0-014:59
2Aston Villa33-0-012:39
3Liverpool33-0-012:79
4Real Madrid33-0-010:59
5Real Betis33-0-07:49
6VfB Stuttgart32-1-07:27
7Arsenal32-1-06:27
8Barcelona32-0-111:66
9Como32-0-110:56
10Manchester City32-0-19:56
11Club Brugge KV32-0-19:66
12Sporting CP32-0-17:46
13Borussia Dortmund32-0-15:46
14Bayern München31-2-010:55
15AS Roma31-1-18:54
16Atlético Madrid31-1-14:34
17Shakhtar Donetsk31-1-14:34
18PSV Eindhoven31-1-12:24
19Villarreal31-0-28:83
20Inter31-0-25:63
21Manchester United31-0-25:63
22Napoli31-0-25:73
23Galatasaray31-0-26:93
24Lask Linz31-0-26:93
25Sabah FA31-0-23:63
26Feyenoord31-0-24:83
27Lens31-0-23:73
28Bodø/Glimt31-0-24:93
29AEK Athens FC31-0-23:83
30RB Leipzig31-0-23:83
31Fenerbahçe30-2-13:92
32Slavia Praha30-1-24:71
33Viking30-1-25:91
34FC Porto30-0-32:60
35Lille30-0-34:100
36Slovan Bratislava30-0-31:130

Recent matches

Aston Villa

31 OctDAston Villa 1–1 Fulham
24 OctWAston Villa 2–1 Manchester City
21 OctWAston Villa 3–1 Viking
17 OctWNewcastle 0–1 Aston Villa
14 OctWAston Villa 6–0 Fenerbahçe

Viking

30 OctLBodø/Glimt 3–2 Viking
25 OctWViking 3–1 Tromsø
21 OctLAston Villa 3–1 Viking
17 OctWViking 3–2 Fredrikstad
13 OctDViking 3–3 Bayern München

Home and away

Aston Villa at home2 matches: 2W 0D 0L, goals 9–1
Viking away2 matches: 0W 0D 2L, goals 2–6

Aston Villa vs Viking: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Aston Villa: 2nd, 9 points from 3 matches (3W 0D 0L). Viking: 33rd, 1 point (0W 1D 2L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Aston Villa 1 win, Viking 0 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 3–1.

What to expect

We make Aston Villa the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (8.5%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.57), with a probability of 60% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 75%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 1; Aston Villa 1 win, 0 draws, Viking 0 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 4.0 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 75%.
  4. Not available: Aston Villa 0, Viking 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Aston Villa: no absences. Not available for Viking: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Aston Villa vs Viking: head to head

All matches
1Aston Villa
0Draws
0Viking
21/10/26 · Aston Villa 3–1 Viking

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.7%

Aston Villa vs Viking: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Aston Villa vs Viking?

On the result, our pick is Aston Villa to win (1.31); on goals, Both teams to score (1.57). Prefer less risk? Go for Aston Villa or draw (1X).

Who will win Aston Villa vs Viking?

As we see it: Aston Villa to win 75%, the draw 15%, Viking to win 10%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

21 October 2026, 20:00, at Villa Park, Birmingham. Referee: Sebastian Gishamer.

Who will be missing?

Aston Villa: no absences. Viking: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 75% chance (odds 1.28), against 25% for under 2.5 (odds 4.00).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.57).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–1 (8.5%), 3–1 (8.2%), 2–0 (8.1%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.