Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Aston Villa v Viking takes place on 21 October 2026 · 20:00 at Villa Park (Birmingham); Sebastian Gishamer will referee. We back Aston Villa (75%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Aston Villa vs Viking: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.31 | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| Market average | 1.28 | 6.47 | 9.35 |
| Lowest odds | 1.25 | 6.00 | 8.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 1.04 | 89.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.24 | 75.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.75 | 24.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.69 | 56.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.35 | 39.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 21/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Aston Villa 2–1 Viking, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Aston Villa 2nd (9 points), Viking 33rd (1 point).
- H2H: 1 match: Aston Villa 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–1.
- Absences: Aston Villa 0, Viking 0.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Viking?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Aston Villa vs Viking: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Aston Villa vs Viking: injuries, suspensions, absences
Aston Villa
- No reported absences
Viking
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Aston Villa vs Viking: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 14:5 | 9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:3 | 9 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:7 | 9 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:5 | 9 | |
| 5 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:4 | 9 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:2 | 7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 | |
| 8 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 11:6 | 6 | |
| 9 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 10:5 | 6 | |
| 10 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:5 | 6 | |
| 11 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:6 | 6 | |
| 12 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 7:4 | 6 | |
| 13 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1-2-0 | 10:5 | 5 | |
| 15 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 | |
| 16 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 | |
| 17 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 | |
| 18 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:2 | 4 | |
| 19 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 8:8 | 3 | |
| 20 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 | |
| 21 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 | |
| 22 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:7 | 3 | |
| 23 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 | |
| 24 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 | |
| 25 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 | |
| 26 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:8 | 3 | |
| 27 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:7 | 3 | |
| 28 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:9 | 3 | |
| 29 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 | |
| 30 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 | |
| 31 | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:9 | 2 | |
| 32 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:7 | 1 | |
| 33 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 5:9 | 1 | |
| 34 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:6 | 0 | |
| 35 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 4:10 | 0 | |
| 36 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
Aston Villa
Home and away
Aston Villa vs Viking: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Aston Villa: 2nd, 9 points from 3 matches (3W 0D 0L). Viking: 33rd, 1 point (0W 1D 2L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Aston Villa 1 win, Viking 0 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 3–1.
What to expect
We make Aston Villa the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (8.5%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.57), with a probability of 60% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 75%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 1; Aston Villa 1 win, 0 draws, Viking 0 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 4.0 per match.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 75%.
- Not available: Aston Villa 0, Viking 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Aston Villa: no absences. Not available for Viking: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Aston Villa vs Viking: head to head
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Aston Villa vs Viking: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Aston Villa vs Viking?
On the result, our pick is Aston Villa to win (1.31); on goals, Both teams to score (1.57). Prefer less risk? Go for Aston Villa or draw (1X).
Who will win Aston Villa vs Viking?
As we see it: Aston Villa to win 75%, the draw 15%, Viking to win 10%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
21 October 2026, 20:00, at Villa Park, Birmingham. Referee: Sebastian Gishamer.
Who will be missing?
Aston Villa: no absences. Viking: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 75% chance (odds 1.28), against 25% for under 2.5 (odds 4.00).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (8.5%), 3–1 (8.2%), 2–0 (8.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
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