Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Fredrikstad v Rosenborg takes place on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Fredrikstad Stadion (Fredrikstad); Sigurd Smehus Kringstad will referee. We back Rosenborg (53%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 4.25 | 4.18 | 1.81 |
| Market average | 3.98 | 3.92 | 1.77 |
| Lowest odds | 3.40 | 3.31 | 1.73 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.56 | 60.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.38 | 39.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.38 | 39.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.34 | 39.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 12:04. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Fredrikstad 1–1 Rosenborg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Fredrikstad 11th (29 points), Rosenborg 4th (43 points).
- Form in the competition: Fredrikstad 8W 5D 11L (29:41), Rosenborg 12W 4D 8L (46:31).
- H2H: 7 matches: Fredrikstad 1W 2D 4L, goals 4–13.
- Absences: Fredrikstad 2, Rosenborg 5.
Who will win Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: injuries, suspensions, absences
Fredrikstad
- S. Kvileknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Nysveeninjury · will miss the match
Rosenborg
- J. Bakkeinjury · will miss the match
- S. Nordlithigh injury · will miss the match
- E. Slordalfoot injury · will miss the match
- H. Voldeninjury · will miss the match
- A. Pereiraillness · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Fredrikstad
Home and away
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Fredrikstad: 11th, 29 points from 25 matches (8W 5D 12L). Rosenborg: 4th, 43 points (13W 4D 8L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Fredrikstad 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded, Rosenborg 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Fredrikstad: 8W 5D 11L, goals 29–41; Rosenborg: 12W 4D 8L, goals 46–31.
- Head to head. Head to head over 7 meetings: Fredrikstad 1 win, Rosenborg 4 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 4–13.
What to expect
We make Rosenborg the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.3%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.58), with a probability of 61% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 60%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 7; Fredrikstad 1 win, 2 draws, Rosenborg 4 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.4 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Fredrikstad 29–41, Rosenborg 46–31.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Not available: Fredrikstad 2, Rosenborg 5.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 60%, odds up to 1.60). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Fredrikstad: S. Kvile, J. Nysveen. Not available for Rosenborg: J. Bakke, S. Nordli, E. Slordal, H. Volden, A. Pereira. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
FredrikstadLLLDDRosenborgWWWDWFredrikstad vs Rosenborg: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
On the result, our pick is Rosenborg to win (1.81); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.58). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Rosenborg (X2).
Who will win Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
As we see it: Fredrikstad to win 23%, the draw 24%, Rosenborg to win 53%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 15:00, at Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad. Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad.
Who will be missing?
Fredrikstad: S. Kvile, J. Nysveen. Rosenborg: J. Bakke, S. Nordli, E. Slordal, H. Volden, A. Pereira. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 60% chance (odds 1.60), against 40% for under 2.5 (odds 2.46).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.3%), 1–2 (9.8%), 0–1 (8.6%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.