Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Viking entertain Tromsø on 25 October 2026 · 13:30 at SR-Bank Arena (Stavanger), with Marius Lien the man in the middle. Viking (62%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Viking vs Tromsø: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.55 | 4.86 | 5.82 |
| Market average | 1.51 | 4.57 | 5.30 |
| Lowest odds | 1.47 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.48 | 1.45 | 64.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.63 | 35.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.22 | 2.15 | 43.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.33 | 39.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 12:04. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Viking 2–1 Tromsø, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Viking 1st (59 points), Tromsø 6th (40 points).
- Form in the competition: Viking 18W 2D 3L (59:22), Tromsø 11W 7D 5L (42:31).
- H2H: 21 matches: Viking 9W 7D 5L, goals 35–28.
- Absences: Viking 7, Tromsø 4.
Who will win Viking vs Tromsø?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Viking vs Tromsø: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Viking vs Tromsø: injuries, suspensions, absences
Viking
- K. Askildsenred card · will miss the match
- A. Baertelsenfoot injury · will miss the match
- V. Berishathigh injury · will miss the match
- S. Bjorsholknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Rosethknee injury · will miss the match
- H. Falchenerknee injury · doubtful
- K. Haugenabsence · doubtful
Tromsø
- L. Hienred card · will miss the match
- S. Prestmoinjury · will miss the match
- M. Tonnesseninjury · will miss the match
- V. Erlieninjury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Viking vs Tromsø: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 | |
| 2 | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 | |
| 3 | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 | |
| 4 | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 | |
| 5 | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 | |
| 6 | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 | |
| 7 | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 | |
| 8 | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 | |
| 9 | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 | |
| 10 | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 | |
| 11 | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 | |
| 12 | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 | |
| 13 | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 | |
| 14 | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 | |
| 15 | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 | |
| 16 | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Viking
Home and away
Viking vs Tromsø: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Viking: 1st, 59 points from 25 matches (19W 2D 4L). Tromsø: 6th, 40 points (11W 7D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Viking 2.6 scored and 1.0 conceded, Tromsø 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Viking: 18W 2D 3L, goals 59–22; Tromsø: 11W 7D 5L, goals 42–31.
- Head to head. Head to head over 21 meetings: Viking 9 wins, Tromsø 5 wins, plus 7 draws; goals 35–28.
What to expect
We make Viking the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.8%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.48), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 64%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 21; Viking 9 wins, 7 draws, Tromsø 5 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Viking 59–22, Tromsø 42–31.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 64%.
- Not available: Viking 7, Tromsø 4.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Viking: K. Askildsen, A. Baertelsen, V. Berisha, S. Bjorshol, M. Roseth, H. Falchener, K. Haugen. Not available for Tromsø: L. Hien, S. Prestmo, M. Tonnessen, V. Erlien. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Viking vs Tromsø: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Viking vs Tromsø: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Viking vs Tromsø: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Viking vs Tromsø?
On the result, our pick is Viking to win (1.55); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.48). Prefer less risk? Go for Viking or draw (1X).
Who will win Viking vs Tromsø?
As we see it: Viking to win 62%, the draw 20%, Tromsø to win 18%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 13:30, at SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger. Referee: Marius Lien.
Who will be missing?
Viking: K. Askildsen, A. Baertelsen, V. Berisha, S. Bjorshol, M. Roseth, H. Falchener, K. Haugen. Tromsø: L. Hien, S. Prestmo, M. Tonnessen, V. Erlien. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 64% chance (odds 1.48), against 36% for under 2.5 (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.8%), 1–1 (8.9%), 2–0 (8.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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