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Eliteserien · Matchweek 12 · 25 October 2026 · 13:30

Viking vs Tromsø tip, odds and prediction, 25 October 2026, Eliteserien

LWWWW
3–1
LLDDW
1Viking1.55
XDraw4.86
2Tromsø5.82

Top odds available · Updated 25/10/26, 12:04

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Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Viking entertain Tromsø on 25 October 2026 · 13:30 at SR-Bank Arena (Stavanger), with Marius Lien the man in the middle. Viking (62%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Viking vs Tromsø: tip and prediction
Result
Viking to win
1.55
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.48
Combo
Viking & over 2.5 goals
2.21
45% · fair combo odds
62%chance of the result
64%goals tip: chance
2–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Viking or draw (1X) – probability 82%, odds up to 1.19.

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Viking vs Tromsø: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.554.865.82
Market average1.514.575.30
Lowest odds1.474.205.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.151.1283.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.481.4564.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.752.6335.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.222.1543.7%
BTTS – yes1.571.5460.3%
BTTS – no2.402.3339.7%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 12:04. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.0%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Viking 2–1 Tromsø, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Viking 1st (59 points), Tromsø 6th (40 points).
  • Form in the competition: Viking 18W 2D 3L (59:22), Tromsø 11W 7D 5L (42:31).
  • H2H: 21 matches: Viking 9W 7D 5L, goals 35–28.
  • Absences: Viking 7, Tromsø 4.

Who will win Viking vs Tromsø?

Viking62%
Draw20%
Tromsø18%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Viking vs Tromsø: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals83.3% · fair odds 1.20 · best 1.15
Likely
Viking or draw (1X)82.3% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.19
Likely
Over 2.5 goals64.5% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.48
Likely
Viking to win61.8% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.55
Likely
Both teams score: yes60.3% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.57
Likely
Under 3.5 goals56.3% · fair odds 1.78 · best 1.70
Possible
Over 3.5 goals43.7% · fair odds 2.29 · best 2.22
Outsider
Both teams score: no39.7% · fair odds 2.52 · best 2.40
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals35.5% · fair odds 2.81 · best 2.75
Outsider
Draw20.5% · fair odds 4.88 · best 4.86
Outsider
Tromsø to win17.7% · fair odds 5.66 · best 5.82
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.90 · Under 1.85
probability of over 49.4%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 19.8%
1 : 18.9%
2 : 08.9%
1 : 08.1%
3 : 17.2%
3 : 06.5%

Viking vs Tromsø: injuries, suspensions, absences

Viking

  • K. Askildsenred card · will miss the match
  • A. Baertelsenfoot injury · will miss the match
  • V. Berishathigh injury · will miss the match
  • S. Bjorsholknee injury · will miss the match
  • M. Rosethknee injury · will miss the match
  • H. Falchenerknee injury · doubtful
  • K. Haugenabsence · doubtful

Tromsø

  • L. Hienred card · will miss the match
  • S. Prestmoinjury · will miss the match
  • M. Tonnesseninjury · will miss the match
  • V. Erlieninjury · doubtful

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Viking vs Tromsø: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Viking2519-2-464:2659
2Bodø/Glimt2519-2-461:2359
3Molde2513-4-859:3943
4Rosenborg2513-4-849:3143
5Lillestrøm2513-3-936:3342
6Tromsø2511-7-743:3840
7Brann2510-2-1345:4232
8Vålerenga259-5-1143:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FF258-7-1032:3931
10KFUM Oslo258-7-1032:4131
11Fredrikstad258-5-1229:4429
12Sandefjord257-6-1226:3427
13Ham-Kam257-6-1235:5327
14Aalesund255-9-1143:5724
15Kristiansund BK256-5-1429:5123
16Start255-4-1626:5519

Recent matches

Viking

30 OctLBodø/Glimt 3–2 Viking
25 OctWViking 3–1 Tromsø
21 OctLAston Villa 3–1 Viking
17 OctWViking 3–2 Fredrikstad
13 OctDViking 3–3 Bayern München

Tromsø

1 NovLVålerenga 4–0 Tromsø
25 OctLViking 3–1 Tromsø
18 OctDTromsø 1–1 KFUM Oslo
11 OctDFredrikstad 1–1 Tromsø
20 SeptWTromsø 3–2 Ham-Kam

Home and away

Viking at home12 matches: 12W 0D 0L, goals 44–13
Tromsø away13 matches: 4W 3D 6L, goals 21–28

Viking vs Tromsø: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Viking: 1st, 59 points from 25 matches (19W 2D 4L). Tromsø: 6th, 40 points (11W 7D 7L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Viking 2.6 scored and 1.0 conceded, Tromsø 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Viking: 18W 2D 3L, goals 59–22; Tromsø: 11W 7D 5L, goals 42–31.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 21 meetings: Viking 9 wins, Tromsø 5 wins, plus 7 draws; goals 35–28.

What to expect

We make Viking the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.8%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.48), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 64%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 21; Viking 9 wins, 7 draws, Tromsø 5 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Viking 59–22, Tromsø 42–31.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 64%.
  5. Not available: Viking 7, Tromsø 4.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Viking: K. Askildsen, A. Baertelsen, V. Berisha, S. Bjorshol, M. Roseth, H. Falchener, K. Haugen. Not available for Tromsø: L. Hien, S. Prestmo, M. Tonnessen, V. Erlien. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Viking vs Tromsø: the numbers side by side

VikingTromsø
72%Form28%
68%Attack32%
73%Defence27%
75%Head to head25%
57%Goals43%
69.7%Overall30.3%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

VikingLWWWW
TromsøLLDDW

Viking vs Tromsø: head to head

All matches
9Viking
7Draws
5Tromsø
25/10/26 · Viking 3–1 Tromsø
20/2/26 · Tromsø 1–1 Viking
19/10/25 · Tromsø 1–3 Viking
27/4/25 · Viking 4–4 Tromsø
1/9/24 · Tromsø 2–2 Viking
5/5/24 · Viking 2–1 Tromsø

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.0%

Viking vs Tromsø: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Viking vs Tromsø?

On the result, our pick is Viking to win (1.55); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.48). Prefer less risk? Go for Viking or draw (1X).

Who will win Viking vs Tromsø?

As we see it: Viking to win 62%, the draw 20%, Tromsø to win 18%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

25 October 2026, 13:30, at SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger. Referee: Marius Lien.

Who will be missing?

Viking: K. Askildsen, A. Baertelsen, V. Berisha, S. Bjorshol, M. Roseth, H. Falchener, K. Haugen. Tromsø: L. Hien, S. Prestmo, M. Tonnessen, V. Erlien. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 64% chance (odds 1.48), against 36% for under 2.5 (odds 2.75).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.57).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–1 (9.8%), 1–1 (8.9%), 2–0 (8.9%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga 7 NovRosenborg vs Start 7 NovTromsø vs Bodø/Glimt 8 NovLillestrøm vs Aalesund 8 NovSandefjord vs Molde 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.