Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Hamburger SV entertain VfB Stuttgart on 17 October 2026 · 14:30 at Volksparkstadion (Hamburger), with Robert Hartmann, Germany the man in the middle. VfB Stuttgart (53%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 4.21 | 4.21 | 1.86 |
| Market average | 3.93 | 4.15 | 1.80 |
| Lowest odds | 3.60 | 4.00 | 1.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.08 | 85.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.38 | 67.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.87 | 32.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.06 | 2.01 | 47.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.39 | 67.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.90 | 2.82 | 33.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 17/10/26, 12:01. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Hamburger SV 1–2 VfB Stuttgart, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Hamburger SV 15th (9 points), VfB Stuttgart 11th (9 points).
- Absences: Hamburger SV 0, VfB Stuttgart 0.
Who will win Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart: injuries, suspensions, absences
Hamburger SV
- No reported absences
VfB Stuttgart
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
Hamburger SV
Home and away
Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Hamburger SV: 15th, 9 points from 8 matches (3W 0D 5L). VfB Stuttgart: 11th, 9 points (3W 0D 5L).
What to expect
We make VfB Stuttgart the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (9.3%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.89), with a probability of 52% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 67% and over 2.5 goals is 67%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 67%.
- Not available: Hamburger SV 0, VfB Stuttgart 0.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Other option: Over 3.5 goals (probability 48%, odds up to 2.06). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Hamburger SV: no absences. Not available for VfB Stuttgart: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?
On the result, our pick is VfB Stuttgart to win (1.86); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.89). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or VfB Stuttgart (X2).
Who will win Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?
As we see it: Hamburger SV to win 24%, the draw 23%, VfB Stuttgart to win 53%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
17 October 2026, 14:30, at Volksparkstadion, Hamburger. Referee: Robert Hartmann, Germany.
Who will be missing?
Hamburger SV: no absences. VfB Stuttgart: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 67% chance (odds 1.42), against 33% for under 2.5 (odds 3.00).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 67% (odds 1.40).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–2 (9.3%), 1–1 (8.9%), 0–2 (6.7%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.