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Bundesliga · Matchweek 6 · 17 October 2026 · 14:30

Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 tip, odds and prediction, 17 October 2026, Bundesliga

1Werder Bremen1.80
XDraw4.36
2SC Paderborn 074.42

Top odds available · Updated 17/10/26, 12:01

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Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Werder Bremen and SC Paderborn 07 meet on 17 October 2026 · 14:30 at Weser-Stadion (Bremen), under referee Robert Schröder, Germany. Werder Bremen (55%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: tip and prediction
Result
Werder Bremen to win
1.80
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.52
Combo
Werder Bremen & over 2.5 goals
2.55
39% · fair combo odds
55%chance of the result
63%goals tip: chance
2–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Werder Bremen or draw (1X) – probability 77%, odds up to 1.25.

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Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.804.364.42
Market average1.754.214.24
Lowest odds1.704.004.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.141.1282.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.521.4963.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.692.5337.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.342.2442.6%
BTTS – yes1.551.5062.0%
BTTS – no2.502.4538.0%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 17/10/26, 12:01. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.5%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Werder Bremen 2–1 SC Paderborn 07, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Werder Bremen 5th (15 points), SC Paderborn 07 14th (9 points).
  • Absences: Werder Bremen 0, SC Paderborn 07 0.

Who will win Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?

Werder Bremen55%
Draw23%
SC Paderborn 0723%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals82.7% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.14
Likely
Werder Bremen or draw (1X)77.4% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.25
Likely
Over 2.5 goals63.0% · fair odds 1.59 · best 1.52
Likely
Both teams score: yes62.0% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.55
Likely
Under 3.5 goals57.4% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.70
Possible
Werder Bremen to win54.7% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.80
Possible
Over 3.5 goals42.6% · fair odds 2.35 · best 2.34
Outsider
Both teams score: no38.0% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.50
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals37.0% · fair odds 2.70 · best 2.69
Outsider
Draw22.8% · fair odds 4.40 · best 4.36
Outsider
SC Paderborn 07 to win22.6% · fair odds 4.43 · best 4.42
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.91 · Under 1.84
probability of over 49.1%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.79 · Under 1.97
probability of over 52.4%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 19.7%
1 : 19.7%
2 : 07.8%
1 : 07.8%
3 : 16.5%
2 : 26.1%

Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: injuries, suspensions, absences

Werder Bremen

  • No reported absences

SC Paderborn 07

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Bayern München85-3-027:818
2Borussia Dortmund85-3-014:618
3SC Freiburg85-1-218:1016
4RB Leipzig85-0-322:1115
5Werder Bremen84-3-117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen84-1-318:1613
7SV Elversberg84-1-316:1613
8Eintracht Frankfurt83-2-313:1811
9FSV Mainz 0583-1-417:1710
10FC Augsburg82-3-318:159
11VfB Stuttgart83-0-514:159
121899 Hoffenheim83-0-514:169
131. FC Köln82-3-39:129
14SC Paderborn 0782-3-36:99
15Hamburger SV83-0-57:199
16Union Berlin81-4-37:197
17FC Schalke 0481-3-44:96
18Borussia Mönchengladbach81-1-611:224

Recent matches

Werder Bremen

31 OctWWerder Bremen 2–0 1899 Hoffenheim
24 OctWFSV Mainz 05 2–3 Werder Bremen
17 OctDWerder Bremen 2–2 SC Paderborn 07
9 OctDBorussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen
19 SeptWWerder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg

SC Paderborn 07

31 OctDBorussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 SC Paderborn 07
24 OctWSC Paderborn 07 1–0 Hamburger SV
17 OctDWerder Bremen 2–2 SC Paderborn 07
10 OctLSC Paderborn 07 0–2 VfB Stuttgart
20 SeptWSC Paderborn 07 3–1 1899 Hoffenheim

Home and away

Werder Bremen at home4 matches: 3W 1D 0L, goals 10–5
SC Paderborn 07 away4 matches: 0W 3D 1L, goals 2–5

Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Werder Bremen: 5th, 15 points from 8 matches (4W 3D 1L). SC Paderborn 07: 14th, 9 points (2W 3D 3L).

What to expect

We make Werder Bremen the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.7%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 63%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 63%.
  2. Not available: Werder Bremen 0, SC Paderborn 07 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 62%, odds up to 1.55). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Werder Bremen: no absences. Not available for SC Paderborn 07: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.5%

Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?

On the result, our pick is Werder Bremen to win (1.80); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.52). Prefer less risk? Go for Werder Bremen or draw (1X).

Who will win Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?

As we see it: Werder Bremen to win 55%, the draw 23%, SC Paderborn 07 to win 23%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

17 October 2026, 14:30, at Weser-Stadion, Bremen. Referee: Robert Schröder, Germany.

Who will be missing?

Werder Bremen: no absences. SC Paderborn 07: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 63% chance (odds 1.52), against 37% for under 2.5 (odds 2.69).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.55).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–1 (9.7%), 1–1 (9.7%), 2–0 (7.8%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 6 NovFSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München 7 NovBorussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg 7 NovRB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg 7 NovSC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.