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Bundesliga · Matchweek 7 · 23 October 2026 · 19:30

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach tip, odds and prediction, 23 October 2026, Bundesliga

1VfB Stuttgart1.36
XDraw6.40
2Borussia Mönchengladbach8.75

Top odds available · Updated 23/10/26, 18:17

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

VfB Stuttgart entertain Borussia Mönchengladbach on 23 October 2026 · 19:30 at MHP Arena (Stuttgart), with Matthias Jöllenbeck the man in the middle. VfB Stuttgart (72%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: tip and prediction
Result
VfB Stuttgart to win
1.36
Goals
Both teams to score
1.50
Combo
VfB Stuttgart & over 2.5 goals
1.70
59% · fair combo odds
72%chance of the result
63%goals tip: chance
2–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: VfB Stuttgart or draw (1X) – probability 88%, odds up to 1.10.

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VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.366.408.75
Market average1.325.977.91
Lowest odds1.295.507.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.091.0688.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.291.2675.0%
Under 2.5 goals3.903.7725.0%
Over 3.5 goals1.741.7055.8%
BTTS – yes1.501.4763.2%
BTTS – no2.632.5336.8%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 23/10/26, 18:17. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.0%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: VfB Stuttgart 11th (9 points), Borussia Mönchengladbach 18th (4 points).
  • Form in the competition: VfB Stuttgart 2W 0D 4L (8:10), Borussia Mönchengladbach 0W 0D 6L (8:20).
  • H2H: 31 matches: VfB Stuttgart 13W 5D 13L, goals 47–47.
  • Absences: VfB Stuttgart 5, Borussia Mönchengladbach 9.

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

VfB Stuttgart72%
Draw16%
Borussia Mönchengladbach12%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals88.4% · fair odds 1.13 · best 1.09
Likely
VfB Stuttgart or draw (1X)87.9% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.10
Likely
Over 2.5 goals75.0% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.29
Likely
VfB Stuttgart to win71.9% · fair odds 1.39 · best 1.36
Likely
Both teams score: yes63.2% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.50
Likely
Over 3.5 goals55.8% · fair odds 1.79 · best 1.74
Possible
Under 3.5 goals44.2% · fair odds 2.26 · best 2.27
Outsider
Both teams score: no36.8% · fair odds 2.72 · best 2.63
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals25.0% · fair odds 4.00 · best 3.90
Outsider
Draw16.0% · fair odds 6.25 · best 6.40
Outsider
Borussia Mönchengladbach to win12.1% · fair odds 8.28 · best 8.75
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.98 · Under 1.78
probability of over 47.3%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.77 · Under 1.97
probability of over 52.7%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 18.7%
3 : 18.1%
2 : 07.5%
3 : 07.0%
1 : 16.2%
4 : 15.7%

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: injuries, suspensions, absences

VfB Stuttgart

  • J. Diehlmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • N. Narteythigh injury · will miss the match
  • T. Tomasmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • J. Vagnomanmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • D. Zagadoumuscle injury · will miss the match

Borussia Mönchengladbach

  • J. Castropshoulder injury · will miss the match
  • F. Fleckmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • F. Honoratmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • K. Itakuraankle injury · will miss the match
  • T. Kleindienstmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • N. Kuhnmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • E. Leopoldknee injury · will miss the match
  • J. Leszczynskiknee injury · will miss the match
  • I. Lidbergthigh injury · will miss the match

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Bayern München85-3-027:818
2Borussia Dortmund85-3-014:618
3SC Freiburg85-1-218:1016
4RB Leipzig85-0-322:1115
5Werder Bremen84-3-117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen84-1-318:1613
7SV Elversberg84-1-316:1613
8Eintracht Frankfurt83-2-313:1811
9FSV Mainz 0583-1-417:1710
10FC Augsburg82-3-318:159
11VfB Stuttgart83-0-514:159
121899 Hoffenheim83-0-514:169
131. FC Köln82-3-39:129
14SC Paderborn 0782-3-36:99
15Hamburger SV83-0-57:199
16Union Berlin81-4-37:197
17FC Schalke 0481-3-44:96
18Borussia Mönchengladbach81-1-611:224

Recent matches

VfB Stuttgart

31 OctWBayer Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart
23 OctLVfB Stuttgart 2–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach
20 OctDVfB Stuttgart 1–1 Atlético Madrid
17 OctLHamburger SV 1–0 VfB Stuttgart
14 OctWSlovan Bratislava 0–3 VfB Stuttgart

Borussia Mönchengladbach

31 OctDBorussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 SC Paderborn 07
23 OctWVfB Stuttgart 2–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach
18 OctLBorussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim
11 OctL1. FC Köln 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
19 SeptLBorussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 FSV Mainz 05

Home and away

VfB Stuttgart at home3 matches: 1W 0D 2L, goals 6–5
Borussia Mönchengladbach away4 matches: 1W 0D 3L, goals 4–12

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. VfB Stuttgart: 11th, 9 points from 8 matches (3W 0D 5L). Borussia Mönchengladbach: 18th, 4 points (1W 1D 6L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: VfB Stuttgart 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.3 scored and 3.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. VfB Stuttgart: 2W 0D 4L, goals 8–10; Borussia Mönchengladbach: 0W 0D 6L, goals 8–20.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 31 meetings: VfB Stuttgart 13 wins, Borussia Mönchengladbach 13 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 47–47.

What to expect

We make VfB Stuttgart the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (8.7%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 63% and over 2.5 goals is 75%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 31; VfB Stuttgart 13 wins, 5 draws, Borussia Mönchengladbach 13 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: VfB Stuttgart 8–10, Borussia Mönchengladbach 8–20.
  4. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 75%.
  5. Not available: VfB Stuttgart 5, Borussia Mönchengladbach 9.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 63%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for VfB Stuttgart: J. Diehl, N. Nartey, T. Tomas, J. Vagnoman, D. Zagadou. Not available for Borussia Mönchengladbach: J. Castrop, F. Fleck, F. Honorat, K. Itakura, T. Kleindienst, N. Kuhn, E. Leopold, J. Leszczynski, I. Lidberg. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: the numbers side by side

VfB StuttgartBorussia Mönchengladbach
100%Form0%
47%Attack53%
77%Defence23%
80%Head to head20%
80%Goals20%
75.4%Overall24.6%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

VfB StuttgartWLLWL
Borussia MönchengladbachDWLLL

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: head to head

All matches
13VfB Stuttgart
5Draws
13Borussia Mönchengladbach
23/10/26 · VfB Stuttgart 2–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach
25/1/26 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–3 VfB Stuttgart
30/8/25 · VfB Stuttgart 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach
1/2/25 · VfB Stuttgart 1–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach
14/9/24 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–3 VfB Stuttgart
18/5/24 · VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.0%

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

On the result, our pick is VfB Stuttgart to win (1.36); on goals, Both teams to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for VfB Stuttgart or draw (1X).

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

As we see it: VfB Stuttgart to win 72%, the draw 16%, Borussia Mönchengladbach to win 12%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

23 October 2026, 19:30, at MHP Arena, Stuttgart. Referee: Matthias Jöllenbeck.

Who will be missing?

VfB Stuttgart: J. Diehl, N. Nartey, T. Tomas, J. Vagnoman, D. Zagadou. Borussia Mönchengladbach: J. Castrop, F. Fleck, F. Honorat, K. Itakura, T. Kleindienst, N. Kuhn, E. Leopold, J. Leszczynski, I. Lidberg. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 75% chance (odds 1.29), against 25% for under 2.5 (odds 3.90).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 63% (odds 1.50).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–1 (8.7%), 3–1 (8.1%), 2–0 (7.5%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 6 NovFSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München 7 NovBorussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg 7 NovRB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg 7 NovSC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.