Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
VfB Stuttgart entertain Borussia Mönchengladbach on 23 October 2026 · 19:30 at MHP Arena (Stuttgart), with Matthias Jöllenbeck the man in the middle. VfB Stuttgart (72%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.36 | 6.40 | 8.75 |
| Market average | 1.32 | 5.97 | 7.91 |
| Lowest odds | 1.29 | 5.50 | 7.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.09 | 1.06 | 88.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.26 | 75.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.90 | 3.77 | 25.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.70 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.53 | 36.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 23/10/26, 18:17. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: VfB Stuttgart 11th (9 points), Borussia Mönchengladbach 18th (4 points).
- Form in the competition: VfB Stuttgart 2W 0D 4L (8:10), Borussia Mönchengladbach 0W 0D 6L (8:20).
- H2H: 31 matches: VfB Stuttgart 13W 5D 13L, goals 47–47.
- Absences: VfB Stuttgart 5, Borussia Mönchengladbach 9.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: injuries, suspensions, absences
VfB Stuttgart
- J. Diehlmuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Narteythigh injury · will miss the match
- T. Tomasmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Vagnomanmuscle injury · will miss the match
- D. Zagadoumuscle injury · will miss the match
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- J. Castropshoulder injury · will miss the match
- F. Fleckmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Honoratmuscle injury · will miss the match
- K. Itakuraankle injury · will miss the match
- T. Kleindienstmuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Kuhnmuscle injury · will miss the match
- E. Leopoldknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Leszczynskiknee injury · will miss the match
- I. Lidbergthigh injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 | |
| 15 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 | |
| 16 | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 | |
| 18 | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
VfB Stuttgart
Home and away
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. VfB Stuttgart: 11th, 9 points from 8 matches (3W 0D 5L). Borussia Mönchengladbach: 18th, 4 points (1W 1D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: VfB Stuttgart 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.3 scored and 3.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. VfB Stuttgart: 2W 0D 4L, goals 8–10; Borussia Mönchengladbach: 0W 0D 6L, goals 8–20.
- Head to head. Head to head over 31 meetings: VfB Stuttgart 13 wins, Borussia Mönchengladbach 13 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 47–47.
What to expect
We make VfB Stuttgart the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (8.7%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 63% and over 2.5 goals is 75%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 31; VfB Stuttgart 13 wins, 5 draws, Borussia Mönchengladbach 13 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: VfB Stuttgart 8–10, Borussia Mönchengladbach 8–20.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 75%.
- Not available: VfB Stuttgart 5, Borussia Mönchengladbach 9.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 63%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for VfB Stuttgart: J. Diehl, N. Nartey, T. Tomas, J. Vagnoman, D. Zagadou. Not available for Borussia Mönchengladbach: J. Castrop, F. Fleck, F. Honorat, K. Itakura, T. Kleindienst, N. Kuhn, E. Leopold, J. Leszczynski, I. Lidberg. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
On the result, our pick is VfB Stuttgart to win (1.36); on goals, Both teams to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for VfB Stuttgart or draw (1X).
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
As we see it: VfB Stuttgart to win 72%, the draw 16%, Borussia Mönchengladbach to win 12%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
23 October 2026, 19:30, at MHP Arena, Stuttgart. Referee: Matthias Jöllenbeck.
Who will be missing?
VfB Stuttgart: J. Diehl, N. Nartey, T. Tomas, J. Vagnoman, D. Zagadou. Borussia Mönchengladbach: J. Castrop, F. Fleck, F. Honorat, K. Itakura, T. Kleindienst, N. Kuhn, E. Leopold, J. Leszczynski, I. Lidberg. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 75% chance (odds 1.29), against 25% for under 2.5 (odds 3.90).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (8.7%), 3–1 (8.1%), 2–0 (7.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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