Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
VfB Stuttgart v Atlético Madrid takes place on 20 October 2026 · 20:00 at MHP Arena (Stuttgart); Serdar Gözübüyük will referee. We back Atlético Madrid (46%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.55 | 4.00 | 2.13 |
| Market average | 3.32 | 3.87 | 2.06 |
| Lowest odds | 3.08 | 3.70 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.44 | 65.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.78 | 2.69 | 34.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.13 | 45.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.40 | 66.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.78 | 33.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Atlético Madrid, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: VfB Stuttgart 6th (7 points), Atlético Madrid 16th (4 points).
- H2H: 1 match: VfB Stuttgart 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1.
- Absences: VfB Stuttgart 0, Atlético Madrid 0.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid: injuries, suspensions, absences
VfB Stuttgart
- No reported absences
Atlético Madrid
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3-0-0 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2-0-1 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2-0-1 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2-0-1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1-2-0 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Atlético Madrid | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1-0-2 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodø/Glimt | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0-1-2 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
VfB Stuttgart
Home and away
VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. VfB Stuttgart: 6th, 7 points from 3 matches (2W 1D 0L). Atlético Madrid: 16th, 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: VfB Stuttgart 0 wins, Atlético Madrid 0 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 1–1.
What to expect
We make Atlético Madrid the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 67% and over 2.5 goals is 65%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 1; VfB Stuttgart 0 wins, 1 draw, Atlético Madrid 0 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.0 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 65%.
- Not available: VfB Stuttgart 0, Atlético Madrid 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 55%, odds up to 1.81). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for VfB Stuttgart: no absences. Not available for Atlético Madrid: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid: head to head
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VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid?
On the result, our pick is Atlético Madrid to win (2.13); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Atlético Madrid (X2).
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid?
As we see it: VfB Stuttgart to win 29%, the draw 25%, Atlético Madrid to win 46%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
20 October 2026, 20:00, at MHP Arena, Stuttgart. Referee: Serdar Gözübüyük.
Who will be missing?
VfB Stuttgart: no absences. Atlético Madrid: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 65% chance (odds 1.47), against 35% for under 2.5 (odds 2.78).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 67% (odds 1.44).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (9.9%), 1–2 (9.2%), 2–1 (7.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.