Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Atlético Madrid entertain Deportivo La Coruña on 24 October 2026 · 20:00 at Riyadh Air Metropolitano (Madrid), with José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain the man in the middle. Atlético Madrid (74%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.34 | 6.20 | 11.50 |
| Market average | 1.29 | 5.84 | 10.19 |
| Lowest odds | 1.25 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 81.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.55 | 61.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.44 | 38.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.44 | 2.34 | 40.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.12 | 1.98 | 47.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.77 | 52.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Atlético Madrid 2–0 Deportivo La Coruña, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Atlético Madrid 2nd (28 points), Deportivo La Coruña 13th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Atlético Madrid 7W 1D 1L (19:8), Deportivo La Coruña 2W 5D 2L (13:12).
- H2H: 14 matches: Atlético Madrid 11W 3D 0L, goals 23–3.
- Absences: Atlético Madrid 3, Deportivo La Coruña 5.
Who will win Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: injuries, suspensions, absences
Atlético Madrid
- J. Cardosothigh injury · will miss the match
- Kokemuscle injury · will miss the match
- C. Romeromuscle injury · will miss the match
Deportivo La Coruña
- P. Aubameyangknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Carrillomuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Casadoabsence · will miss the match
- Z. Eddahchouriabsence · will miss the match
- B. Edehamstring injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 12 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Deportivo La Coruña | 10 | 2-5-3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Atlético Madrid
Home and away
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Atlético Madrid: 2nd, 28 points from 11 matches (9W 1D 1L). Deportivo La Coruña: 13th, 11 points (2W 5D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Atlético Madrid 2.1 scored and 0.9 conceded, Deportivo La Coruña 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Atlético Madrid: 7W 1D 1L, goals 19–8; Deportivo La Coruña: 2W 5D 2L, goals 13–12.
- Head to head. Head to head over 14 meetings: Atlético Madrid 11 wins, Deportivo La Coruña 0 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 23–3.
What to expect
We make Atlético Madrid the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (12.3%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.65), with a probability of 61% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 47% and over 2.5 goals is 61%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 14; Atlético Madrid 11 wins, 3 draws, Deportivo La Coruña 0 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 1.9 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Atlético Madrid 19–8, Deportivo La Coruña 13–12.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Not available: Atlético Madrid 3, Deportivo La Coruña 5.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Atlético Madrid: J. Cardoso, Koke, C. Romero. Not available for Deportivo La Coruña: P. Aubameyang, N. Carrillo, M. Casado, Z. Eddahchouri, B. Ede. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Atlético MadridWWWWWDeportivo La CoruñaLDLDLAtlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: head to head
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Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña?
On the result, our pick is Atlético Madrid to win (1.34); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.65). Prefer less risk? Go for Atlético Madrid or draw (1X).
Who will win Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña?
As we see it: Atlético Madrid to win 74%, the draw 16%, Deportivo La Coruña to win 9%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 20:00, at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid. Referee: José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Atlético Madrid: J. Cardoso, Koke, C. Romero. Deportivo La Coruña: P. Aubameyang, N. Carrillo, M. Casado, Z. Eddahchouri, B. Ede. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 61% chance (odds 1.65), against 39% for under 2.5 (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 47% (odds 2.12).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–0 (12.3%), 1–0 (10.3%), 3–0 (9.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.