Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Espanyol v Atlético Madrid takes place on 17 October 2026 · 13:00 at RCDE Stadium (Cornellà); Alejandro Hernández, Spain will referee. We back Atlético Madrid (56%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 5.17 | 4.12 | 1.75 |
| Market average | 4.87 | 4.01 | 1.70 |
| Lowest odds | 4.60 | 3.75 | 1.67 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.22 | 76.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.72 | 55.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.23 | 2.15 | 44.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.76 | 2.67 | 35.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.69 | 55.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.07 | 44.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 17/10/26, 10:17. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Espanyol 1–1 Atlético Madrid, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Espanyol 14th (11 points), Atlético Madrid 2nd (28 points).
- Absences: Espanyol 0, Atlético Madrid 0.
Who will win Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid: injuries, suspensions, absences
Espanyol
- No reported absences
Atlético Madrid
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 12 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 10 | 2-5-3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Espanyol
Home and away
Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Espanyol: 14th, 11 points from 11 matches (3W 2D 6L). Atlético Madrid: 2nd, 28 points (9W 1D 1L).
What to expect
We make Atlético Madrid the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.7%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 56%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Not available: Espanyol 0, Atlético Madrid 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 56%, odds up to 1.79). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Espanyol: no absences. Not available for Atlético Madrid: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid?
On the result, our pick is Atlético Madrid to win (1.75); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Atlético Madrid (X2).
Who will win Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid?
As we see it: Espanyol to win 20%, the draw 24%, Atlético Madrid to win 56%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
17 October 2026, 13:00, at RCDE Stadium, Cornellà. Referee: Alejandro Hernández, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Espanyol: no absences. Atlético Madrid: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 56% chance (odds 1.79), against 44% for under 2.5 (odds 2.23).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.73).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.7%), 0–1 (10.2%), 1–2 (9.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.