Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Athletic Club and Getafe meet on 25 October 2026 · 13:00 at San Mamés Stadium (Bilbao), under referee Francisco José Hernández Maeso. Athletic Club (61%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Athletic Club vs Getafe: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.65 | 4.21 | 6.67 |
| Market average | 1.58 | 3.98 | 6.26 |
| Lowest odds | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.37 | 68.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.23 | 2.13 | 44.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.72 | 55.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.81 | 24.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.25 | 2.13 | 43.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.73 | 1.65 | 56.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 12:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Athletic Club 1–0 Getafe, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Athletic Club 7th (15 points), Getafe 12th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Athletic Club 2W 3D 3L (8:9), Getafe 2W 3D 4L (5:11).
- H2H: 31 matches: Athletic Club 11W 14D 6L, goals 42–25.
- Absences: Athletic Club 4, Getafe 5.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Getafe?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Athletic Club vs Getafe: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Athletic Club vs Getafe: injuries, suspensions, absences
Athletic Club
- U. Egiluzknee injury · will miss the match
- G. Guruzetaknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Laportered card · will miss the match
- O. Sancetmuscle injury · will miss the match
Getafe
- Djenered card · will miss the match
- Juanmiknee injury · will miss the match
- O. Mangalamuscle injury · will miss the match
- Z. Romeromuscle injury · will miss the match
- C. Ucheknee injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Athletic Club vs Getafe: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 12 | Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 10 | 2-5-3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Athletic Club
Home and away
Athletic Club vs Getafe: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Athletic Club: 7th, 15 points from 10 matches (4W 3D 3L). Getafe: 12th, 12 points (3W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Athletic Club 1.0 scored and 1.1 conceded, Getafe 0.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Athletic Club: 2W 3D 3L, goals 8–9; Getafe: 2W 3D 4L, goals 5–11.
- Head to head. Head to head over 31 meetings: Athletic Club 11 wins, Getafe 6 wins, plus 14 draws; goals 42–25.
What to expect
We make Athletic Club the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (14.7%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like At least one team fails to score (odds 1.73), with a probability of 56% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 44% and over 2.5 goals is 45%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 31; Athletic Club 11 wins, 14 draws, Getafe 6 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.2 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Athletic Club 8–9, Getafe 5–11.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 45%.
- Not available: Athletic Club 4, Getafe 5.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: no
Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 56%, odds up to 1.73). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Athletic Club: U. Egiluz, G. Guruzeta, A. Laporte, O. Sancet. Not available for Getafe: Djene, Juanmi, O. Mangala, Z. Romero, C. Uche. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Athletic Club vs Getafe: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Athletic ClubWWLDDGetafeWLDLWAthletic Club vs Getafe: head to head
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Athletic Club vs Getafe: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Athletic Club vs Getafe?
On the result, our pick is Athletic Club to win (1.65); on goals, At least one team fails to score (1.73). Prefer less risk? Go for Athletic Club or draw (1X).
Who will win Athletic Club vs Getafe?
As we see it: Athletic Club to win 61%, the draw 24%, Getafe to win 15%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 13:00, at San Mamés Stadium, Bilbao. Referee: Francisco José Hernández Maeso.
Who will be missing?
Athletic Club: U. Egiluz, G. Guruzeta, A. Laporte, O. Sancet. Getafe: Djene, Juanmi, O. Mangala, Z. Romero, C. Uche. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 45% chance (odds 2.23), against 55% for under 2.5 (odds 1.76).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 44% (odds 2.25).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–0 (14.7%), 2–0 (12.5%), 1–1 (11.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.