Bet with MINO CASINO →Union Berlin entertain RB Leipzig on 21 November 2026 · 14:30 at Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin). RB Leipzig (55%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 4.41 | 4.57 | 1.76 |
| Market average | 4.18 | 4.31 | 1.72 |
| Lowest odds | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.09 | 85.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.39 | 67.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.92 | 32.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.07 | 2.03 | 47.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.43 | 65.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.73 | 2.69 | 34.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 17:11. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Union Berlin 1–2 RB Leipzig, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Union Berlin 16th (7 points), RB Leipzig 4th (15 points).
- Absences: Union Berlin 0, RB Leipzig 0.
Who will win Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig: injuries, suspensions, absences
Union Berlin
- No reported absences
RB Leipzig
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
Union Berlin
Home and away
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Union Berlin: 16th, 7 points from 8 matches (1W 4D 3L). RB Leipzig: 4th, 15 points (5W 0D 3L).
What to expect
We make RB Leipzig the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (9.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.88), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 65% and over 2.5 goals is 68%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 68%.
- Not available: Union Berlin 0, RB Leipzig 0.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Other option: Over 3.5 goals (probability 47%, odds up to 2.07). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Union Berlin: no absences. Not available for RB Leipzig: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
On the result, our pick is RB Leipzig to win (1.76); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.88). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or RB Leipzig (X2).
Who will win Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
As we see it: Union Berlin to win 23%, the draw 22%, RB Leipzig to win 55%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
21 November 2026, 14:30, at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin.
Who will be missing?
Union Berlin: no absences. RB Leipzig: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 68% chance (odds 1.40), against 32% for under 2.5 (odds 3.00).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 65% (odds 1.44).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–2 (9.4%), 1–1 (8.8%), 0–2 (7.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.