Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
RB Leipzig entertain SV Elversberg on 24 October 2026 · 14:30 at Leipzig Red Bull Arena (Leipzig), with Bastian Dankert, Germany the man in the middle. RB Leipzig (67%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.45 | 5.80 | 6.67 |
| Market average | 1.42 | 5.38 | 6.29 |
| Lowest odds | 1.36 | 4.80 | 5.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.09 | 1.06 | 88.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.26 | 74.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.90 | 3.72 | 25.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.71 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.40 | 66.5% |
| BTTS – no | 3.00 | 2.78 | 33.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 12:03. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: RB Leipzig 2–1 SV Elversberg, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: RB Leipzig 4th (15 points), SV Elversberg 7th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: RB Leipzig 3W 0D 3L (16:11), SV Elversberg 3W 1D 2L (12:11).
- H2H: 3 matches: RB Leipzig 2W 0D 1L, goals 6–1.
- Absences: RB Leipzig 2, SV Elversberg 4.
Who will win RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: injuries, suspensions, absences
RB Leipzig
- M. Guiuhamstring injury · will miss the match
- A. Ouedraogoshoulder injury · will miss the match
SV Elversberg
- L. Seifertankle injury · will miss the match
- T. Zimmerschiedankle injury · will miss the match
- N. Darvichinjury · doubtful
- F. Onyekafoot injury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
RB Leipzig
Home and away
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. RB Leipzig: 4th, 15 points from 8 matches (5W 0D 3L). SV Elversberg: 7th, 13 points (4W 1D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: RB Leipzig 2.7 scored and 1.8 conceded, SV Elversberg 2.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. RB Leipzig: 3W 0D 3L, goals 16–11; SV Elversberg: 3W 1D 2L, goals 12–11.
- Head to head. Head to head over 3 meetings: RB Leipzig 2 wins, SV Elversberg 1 win, plus 0 draws; goals 6–1.
What to expect
We make RB Leipzig the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (8.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.76), with a probability of 56% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 66% and over 2.5 goals is 75%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 3; RB Leipzig 2 wins, 0 draws, SV Elversberg 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: RB Leipzig 16–11, SV Elversberg 12–11.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 75%.
- Not available: RB Leipzig 2, SV Elversberg 4.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 44%, odds up to 2.23). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for RB Leipzig: M. Guiu, A. Ouedraogo. Not available for SV Elversberg: L. Seifert, T. Zimmerschied, N. Darvich, F. Onyeka. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
RB LeipzigWWLWLSV ElversbergWLWLDRB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?
On the result, our pick is RB Leipzig to win (1.45); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.76). Prefer less risk? Go for RB Leipzig or draw (1X).
Who will win RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?
As we see it: RB Leipzig to win 67%, the draw 18%, SV Elversberg to win 15%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 14:30, at Leipzig Red Bull Arena, Leipzig. Referee: Bastian Dankert, Germany.
Who will be missing?
RB Leipzig: M. Guiu, A. Ouedraogo. SV Elversberg: L. Seifert, T. Zimmerschied, N. Darvich, F. Onyeka. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 75% chance (odds 1.29), against 25% for under 2.5 (odds 3.90).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 66% (odds 1.44).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (8.9%), 3–1 (7.8%), 2–0 (7.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.