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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 3 · 5 November 2026 · 20:00

Twente vs Pafos tip, odds and prediction, 5 November 2026, UEFA Conference League

1Twente1.33
XDraw6.00
2Pafos9.80

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 03:27

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Twente v Pafos takes place on 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at De Grolsch Veste (Enschede). We back Twente (72%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Twente vs Pafos: tip and prediction
Result
Twente to win
1.33
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.45
Combo
Twente & over 2.5 goals
1.91
52% · fair combo odds
72%chance of the result
66%goals tip: chance
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Twente or draw (1X) – probability 89%, odds up to 1.10.

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Twente vs Pafos: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.336.009.80
Market average1.305.488.22
Lowest odds1.274.846.38
Megapari1.315.849.60
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.141.1183.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.451.4265.8%
Under 2.5 goals2.882.7334.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.122.0645.9%
BTTS – yes1.741.7154.2%
BTTS – no2.102.0345.8%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:27. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.6%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

Bet with Megapari →

Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Twente 2–0 Pafos, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Twente 5th (6 points), Pafos 27th (1 point).
  • Form in the competition: Twente 4W 1D 1L (18:6), Pafos 1W 2D 1L (7:7).
  • Absences: Twente 0, Pafos 0.

Who will win Twente vs Pafos?

Twente72%
Draw17%
Pafos11%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Twente vs Pafos: more betting markets

Twente or draw (1X)88.6% · fair odds 1.13 · best 1.10
Likely
Over 1.5 goals83.8% · fair odds 1.19 · best 1.14
Likely
Twente to win71.6% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.33
Likely
Over 2.5 goals65.8% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.45
Likely
Both teams score: yes54.2% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.74
Possible
Under 3.5 goals54.1% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.78
Possible
Over 3.5 goals45.9% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.12
Outsider
Both teams score: no45.8% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.10
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals34.2% · fair odds 2.92 · best 2.88
Outsider
Draw17.0% · fair odds 5.87 · best 6.00
Outsider
Pafos to win11.4% · fair odds 8.76 · best 9.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.84 · Under 1.87
probability of over 50.3%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 010.5%
2 : 19.5%
3 : 08.6%
1 : 08.6%
3 : 17.7%
1 : 17.7%

Twente vs Pafos: injuries, suspensions, absences

Twente

  • No reported absences

Pafos

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Twente vs Pafos: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Panathinaikos22-0-07:26
2FC Lugano22-0-08:46
3Brann22-0-06:26
4Trabzonspor22-0-06:26
5Twente22-0-05:16
6Monaco22-0-05:16
7St. Truiden22-0-03:06
8HNK Hajduk Split22-0-03:16
9Brighton21-1-04:04
10FC Copenhagen21-1-05:24
11Universitatea Craiova21-1-04:24
12Mjällby AIF21-1-03:14
13Ajax21-0-13:23
14Borac Banja Luka21-0-13:23
15Atalanta21-0-13:33
16SC Braga21-0-12:33
17Gent21-0-11:23
18SC Freiburg21-0-13:53
19FC Nordsjælland20-2-03:32
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë20-2-02:22
21Riga20-2-02:22
22FK Crvena Zvezda20-1-14:51
23CSKA Sofia20-1-13:41
24FK Jablonec20-1-12:31
25FC Midtjylland20-1-11:21
26Aarhus20-1-11:21
27Pafos20-1-12:41
28Heart Of Midlothian20-1-11:31
29FC Iberia 199920-1-11:31
30Getafe20-1-13:61
31Kairat Almaty20-1-12:61
32FC Thun20-0-20:20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC20-0-22:60
34KuPS20-0-22:60
35Inter Club d'Escaldes20-0-21:50
36Kauno Žalgiris20-0-21:80

Recent matches

Twente

1 NovWExcelsior 0–9 Twente
25 OctWAZ Alkmaar 0–2 Twente
22 OctWLincoln Red Imps FC 1–4 Twente
18 OctLTwente 1–2 Utrecht
15 OctWTwente 1–0 FC Thun

Pafos

22 OctDPafos 1–1 Riga
15 OctLAtalanta 3–1 Pafos
27 AugWPafos 4–2 Dinamo Tirana
20 AugDDinamo Tirana 1–1 Pafos

Home and away

Twente at home1 match: 1W 0D 0L, goals 1–0
Pafos away1 match: 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–3

Twente vs Pafos: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Twente: 5th, 6 points from 2 matches (2W 0D 0L). Pafos: 27th, 1 point (0W 1D 1L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Twente 3.0 scored and 1.0 conceded, Pafos 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Twente: 4W 1D 1L, goals 18–6; Pafos: 1W 2D 1L, goals 7–7.

What to expect

We make Twente the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (10.5%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.45), with a probability of 66% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 66%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. This competition, scored–conceded: Twente 18–6, Pafos 7–7.
  2. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 66%.
  3. Not available: Twente 0, Pafos 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.74). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Twente: no absences. Not available for Pafos: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Twente vs Pafos: the numbers side by side

TwentePafos
67%Form33%
63%Attack37%
54%Defence46%
69.0%Overall31.0%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

TwenteWW
PafosDL

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.6%

Twente vs Pafos: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Twente vs Pafos?

On the result, our pick is Twente to win (1.33); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.45). Prefer less risk? Go for Twente or draw (1X).

Who will win Twente vs Pafos?

As we see it: Twente to win 72%, the draw 17%, Pafos to win 11%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

5 November 2026, 20:00, at De Grolsch Veste, Enschede.

Who will be missing?

Twente: no absences. Pafos: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 66% chance (odds 1.45), against 34% for under 2.5 (odds 2.88).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.74).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–0 (10.5%), 2–1 (9.5%), 3–0 (8.6%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax 5 NovAarhus vs SC Braga 5 NovAtalanta vs Kairat Almaty 5 NovFK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes 5 NovLincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split 5 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.