Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Pafos v Riga takes place on 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi); M. Barbu will referee. We back Pafos (53%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Pafos vs Riga: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.88 | 3.90 | 4.59 |
| Market average | 1.78 | 3.71 | 4.29 |
| Lowest odds | 1.54 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.23 | 75.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.78 | 53.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.11 | 2.02 | 46.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.11 | 2.91 | 32.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.70 | 54.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.05 | 45.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 22/10/26, 16:28. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Pafos 1–1 Riga, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Pafos 27th (1 point), Riga 21st (2 points).
- Absences: Pafos 0, Riga 0.
Who will win Pafos vs Riga?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Pafos vs Riga: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Pafos vs Riga: injuries, suspensions, absences
Pafos
- No reported absences
Riga
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Pafos vs Riga: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2-0-0 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjælland | 2 | 0-2-0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0-0-2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Recent matches
Pafos
Home and away
Pafos vs Riga: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Pafos: 27th, 1 point from 2 matches (0W 1D 1L). Riga: 21st, 2 points (0W 2D 0L).
What to expect
We make Pafos the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.75), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 53%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Not available: Pafos 0, Riga 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 55%, odds up to 1.75). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Pafos: no absences. Not available for Riga: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
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Pafos vs Riga: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Pafos vs Riga?
On the result, our pick is Pafos to win (1.88); on goals, Both teams to score (1.75). Prefer less risk? Go for Pafos or draw (1X).
Who will win Pafos vs Riga?
As we see it: Pafos to win 53%, the draw 25%, Riga to win 22%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
22 October 2026, 17:45, at Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi. Referee: M. Barbu.
Who will be missing?
Pafos: no absences. Riga: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 53% chance (odds 1.86), against 47% for under 2.5 (odds 2.11).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.75).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.2%), 1–0 (10.6%), 2–1 (9.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.