Bet with MINO CASINO →Sunderland v Chelsea takes place on 8 November 2026 · 14:00 at Stadium of Light (Sunderland). We back Chelsea (47%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Sunderland vs Chelsea: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.70 | 3.75 | 2.15 |
| Market average | 3.53 | 3.57 | 2.01 |
| Lowest odds | 3.30 | 3.26 | 1.90 |
| Megapari | 3.72 | 3.82 | 2.06 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.24 | 75.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.89 | 1.83 | 52.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 2.00 | 47.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 3.02 | 31.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.68 | 55.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.09 | 44.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:38. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.2%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sunderland 1–1 Chelsea, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sunderland 20th (5 points), Chelsea 4th (16 points).
- Form in the competition: Sunderland 1W 2D 6L (7:17), Chelsea 5W 1D 3L (19:15).
- H2H: 17 matches: Sunderland 6W 1D 10L, goals 25–34.
- Absences: Sunderland 0, Chelsea 0.
Who will win Sunderland vs Chelsea?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Sunderland vs Chelsea: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Sunderland vs Chelsea: injuries, suspensions, absences
Sunderland
- No reported absences
Chelsea
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Sunderland vs Chelsea: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 10 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 11 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3-2-3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 13 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 14 |  Everton | 8 | 2-4-2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Sunderland
Home and away
Sunderland vs Chelsea: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Sunderland: 20th, 5 points from 9 matches (1W 2D 6L). Chelsea: 4th, 16 points (5W 1D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Sunderland 0.8 scored and 1.9 conceded, Chelsea 2.1 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sunderland: 1W 2D 6L, goals 7–17; Chelsea: 5W 1D 3L, goals 19–15.
- Head to head. Head to head over 17 meetings: Sunderland 6 wins, Chelsea 10 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 25–34.
What to expect
We make Chelsea the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.8%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.73), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 17; Sunderland 6 wins, 1 draw, Chelsea 10 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Sunderland 7–17, Chelsea 19–15.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Not available: Sunderland 0, Chelsea 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 55%, odds up to 1.73). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Sunderland: no absences. Not available for Chelsea: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Sunderland vs Chelsea: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
SunderlandLDLLLChelseaWLWWLSunderland vs Chelsea: head to head
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Sunderland vs Chelsea: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Sunderland vs Chelsea?
On the result, our pick is Chelsea to win (2.15); on goals, Both teams to score (1.73). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Chelsea (X2).
Who will win Sunderland vs Chelsea?
As we see it: Sunderland to win 27%, the draw 26%, Chelsea to win 47%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
8 November 2026, 14:00, at Stadium of Light, Sunderland.
Who will be missing?
Sunderland: no absences. Chelsea: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.89), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 2.07).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.73).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.8%), 0–1 (10.2%), 1–2 (9.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.