Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Chelsea and Tottenham meet on 24 October 2026 · 17:30 at Stamford Bridge (London), under referee Chris Kavanagh, England. Chelsea (50%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Chelsea vs Tottenham: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.97 | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| Market average | 1.91 | 3.87 | 3.89 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 81.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 1.56 | 60.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.39 | 39.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.39 | 39.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.50 | 62.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.48 | 37.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 13:40. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Chelsea 1–1 Tottenham, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Chelsea 4th (16 points), Tottenham 8th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Chelsea 4W 1D 2L (17:13), Tottenham 1W 3D 3L (6:10).
- H2H: 43 matches: Chelsea 24W 11D 8L, goals 77–47.
- Absences: Chelsea 5, Tottenham 6.
Who will win Chelsea vs Tottenham?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Chelsea vs Tottenham: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Chelsea vs Tottenham: injuries, suspensions, absences
Chelsea
- P. Chavarriainjury · will miss the match
- E. Emeghamuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Gittensankle injury · will miss the match
- R. Jamesknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Martinezabsence · will miss the match
Tottenham
- R. Bentancurred card · will miss the match
- L. Bergvallknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Mudrykankle injury · will miss the match
- W. Odobertknee injury · will miss the match
- X. Simonsknee injury · will miss the match
- D. Udogieknee injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Chelsea vs Tottenham: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3-2-3 | 12:14 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2-4-2 | 8:9 | 10 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Chelsea
Home and away
Chelsea vs Tottenham: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Chelsea: 4th, 16 points from 9 matches (5W 1D 3L). Tottenham: 8th, 12 points (3W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Chelsea 2.4 scored and 1.9 conceded, Tottenham 0.9 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Chelsea: 4W 1D 2L, goals 17–13; Tottenham: 1W 3D 3L, goals 6–10.
- Head to head. Head to head over 43 meetings: Chelsea 24 wins, Tottenham 8 wins, plus 11 draws; goals 77–47.
What to expect
We make Chelsea the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 61%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 43; Chelsea 24 wins, 11 draws, Tottenham 8 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.9 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Chelsea 17–13, Tottenham 6–10.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Not available: Chelsea 5, Tottenham 6.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 62%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Chelsea: P. Chavarria, E. Emegha, J. Gittens, R. James, E. Martinez. Not available for Tottenham: R. Bentancur, L. Bergvall, M. Mudryk, W. Odobert, X. Simons, D. Udogie. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Chelsea vs Tottenham: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Chelsea vs Tottenham: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Chelsea vs Tottenham: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Chelsea vs Tottenham?
On the result, our pick is Chelsea to win (1.97); on goals, Both teams to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Chelsea or draw (1X).
Who will win Chelsea vs Tottenham?
As we see it: Chelsea to win 50%, the draw 25%, Tottenham to win 25%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 17:30, at Stamford Bridge, London. Referee: Chris Kavanagh, England.
Who will be missing?
Chelsea: P. Chavarria, E. Emegha, J. Gittens, R. James, E. Martinez. Tottenham: R. Bentancur, L. Bergvall, M. Mudryk, W. Odobert, X. Simons, D. Udogie. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 61% chance (odds 1.61), against 39% for under 2.5 (odds 2.47).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.50).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.4%), 2–1 (9.6%), 1–0 (8.3%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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