Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sunderland entertain Leeds on 25 October 2026 · 16:30 at Stadium of Light (Sunderland), with Stuart Attwell the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Sunderland vs Leeds: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.02 | 3.25 | 2.67 |
| Market average | 2.95 | 3.13 | 2.59 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.38 | 68.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.21 | 43.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.68 | 56.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.20 | 4.01 | 23.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.85 | 50.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.89 | 49.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 13:09. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sunderland 1–1 Leeds, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Sunderland 20th (5 points), Leeds 11th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Sunderland 1W 1D 5L (6:14), Leeds 2W 4D 1L (9:6).
- H2H: 11 matches: Sunderland 3W 5D 3L, goals 8–9.
- Absences: Sunderland 5, Leeds 5.
Who will win Sunderland vs Leeds?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Sunderland vs Leeds: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sunderland vs Leeds: injuries, suspensions, absences
Sunderland
- D. Ballardmuscle injury · will miss the match
- K. Dansored card · will miss the match
- R. Mundleknee injury · will miss the match
- W. Isidorinjury · doubtful
- T. Meuniermuscle injury · doubtful
Leeds
- M. Josephknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Rodonmuscle injury · will miss the match
- D. Calvert-Lewinfoot injury · doubtful
- N. Okaforgroin injury · doubtful
- A. Stachgroin injury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Sunderland vs Leeds: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 10 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3-2-3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 13 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 14 |  Everton | 8 | 2-4-2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Sunderland
Home and away
Sunderland vs Leeds: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Sunderland: 20th, 5 points from 9 matches (1W 2D 6L). Leeds: 11th, 11 points (2W 5D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Sunderland 0.9 scored and 2.0 conceded, Leeds 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sunderland: 1W 1D 5L, goals 6–14; Leeds: 2W 4D 1L, goals 9–6.
- Head to head. Head to head over 11 meetings: Sunderland 3 wins, Leeds 3 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 8–9.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (13.0%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.74), with a probability of 57% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 51% and over 2.5 goals is 43%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 11; Sunderland 3 wins, 5 draws, Leeds 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 1.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Sunderland 6–14, Leeds 9–6.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 43%.
- Not available: Sunderland 5, Leeds 5.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 51%, odds up to 1.91). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Sunderland: D. Ballard, K. Danso, R. Mundle, W. Isidor, T. Meunier. Not available for Leeds: M. Joseph, J. Rodon, D. Calvert-Lewin, N. Okafor, A. Stach. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Sunderland vs Leeds: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
SunderlandLDLLLLeedsLDDLDSunderland vs Leeds: head to head
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Sunderland vs Leeds: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Sunderland vs Leeds?
On the result, our pick is Draw or Leeds (X2) (1.44); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.74). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Leeds (X2).
Who will win Sunderland vs Leeds?
As we see it: Sunderland to win 32%, the draw 31%, Leeds to win 37%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 16:30, at Stadium of Light, Sunderland. Referee: Stuart Attwell.
Who will be missing?
Sunderland: D. Ballard, K. Danso, R. Mundle, W. Isidor, T. Meunier. Leeds: M. Joseph, J. Rodon, D. Calvert-Lewin, N. Okafor, A. Stach. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 43% chance (odds 2.27), against 57% for under 2.5 (odds 1.74).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 51% (odds 1.91).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (13.0%), 0–1 (11.3%), 1–0 (10.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.