Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Everton and Chelsea meet on 17 October 2026 · 12:30 at Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool), under referee Paul Tierney, England. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Everton vs Chelsea: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.10 | 3.84 | 2.40 |
| Market average | 2.98 | 3.66 | 2.30 |
| Lowest odds | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.18 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.65 | 57.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.26 | 42.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.66 | 2.55 | 36.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.52 | 61.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.39 | 38.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 17/10/26, 09:43. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Everton 1–1 Chelsea, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Everton 14th (10 points), Chelsea 4th (16 points).
- Absences: Everton 0, Chelsea 0.
Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Everton vs Chelsea: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Everton vs Chelsea: injuries, suspensions, absences
Everton
- No reported absences
Chelsea
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Everton vs Chelsea: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 10 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 11 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3-2-3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 13 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 14 | Everton | 8 | 2-4-2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Everton
Home and away
Everton vs Chelsea: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Everton: 14th, 10 points from 8 matches (2W 4D 2L). Chelsea: 4th, 16 points (5W 1D 3L).
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 61% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Not available: Everton 0, Chelsea 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 61%, odds up to 1.55). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Everton: no absences. Not available for Chelsea: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
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Everton vs Chelsea: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Everton vs Chelsea?
On the result, our pick is Draw or Chelsea (X2) (1.43); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.53). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Chelsea (X2).
Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?
As we see it: Everton to win 32%, the draw 26%, Chelsea to win 42%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
17 October 2026, 12:30, at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool. Referee: Paul Tierney, England.
Who will be missing?
Everton: no absences. Chelsea: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.70), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 61% (odds 1.55).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.2%), 1–2 (8.9%), 0–1 (8.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.