Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sevilla v Osasuna takes place on 26 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán (Seville); Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias will referee. We back Sevilla (52%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Sevilla vs Osasuna: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.94 | 3.60 | 5.08 |
| Market average | 1.82 | 3.48 | 4.77 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.38 | 68.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.21 | 43.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.77 | 1.68 | 56.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.33 | 3.91 | 24.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.02 | 1.98 | 47.0% |
| BTTS – no | 1.80 | 1.76 | 53.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 26/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sevilla 1–0 Osasuna, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sevilla 6th (17 points), Osasuna 15th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Sevilla 4W 2D 3L (14:16), Osasuna 3W 2D 4L (10:18).
- H2H: 26 matches: Sevilla 13W 6D 7L, goals 39–25.
- Absences: Sevilla 2, Osasuna 4.
Who will win Sevilla vs Osasuna?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Sevilla vs Osasuna: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sevilla vs Osasuna: injuries, suspensions, absences
Sevilla
- Marcaomuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Sierrashoulder injury · will miss the match
Osasuna
- A. Bonelnot in the squad · will miss the match
- R. Del Castillomuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Herrandomuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Orozhamstring injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Sevilla vs Osasuna: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 12 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 10 | 2-5-3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Sevilla
Home and away
Sevilla vs Osasuna: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Sevilla: 6th, 17 points from 11 matches (5W 2D 4L). Osasuna: 15th, 11 points (3W 2D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Sevilla 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded, Osasuna 1.1 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sevilla: 4W 2D 3L, goals 14–16; Osasuna: 3W 2D 4L, goals 10–18.
- Head to head. Head to head over 26 meetings: Sevilla 13 wins, Osasuna 7 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 39–25.
What to expect
We make Sevilla the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (14.3%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.77), with a probability of 57% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 47% and over 2.5 goals is 43%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 26; Sevilla 13 wins, 6 draws, Osasuna 7 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Sevilla 14–16, Osasuna 10–18.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 43%.
- Not available: Sevilla 2, Osasuna 4.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: no
Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 53%, odds up to 1.80). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Sevilla: Marcao, M. Sierra. Not available for Osasuna: A. Bonel, R. Del Castillo, J. Herrando, A. Oroz. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Sevilla vs Osasuna: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
SevillaLWLDLOsasunaLWLDLSevilla vs Osasuna: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Sevilla vs Osasuna: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Sevilla vs Osasuna?
On the result, our pick is Sevilla to win (1.94); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.77). Prefer less risk? Go for Sevilla or draw (1X).
Who will win Sevilla vs Osasuna?
As we see it: Sevilla to win 52%, the draw 27%, Osasuna to win 20%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
26 October 2026, 20:00, at Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville. Referee: Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias.
Who will be missing?
Sevilla: Marcao, M. Sierra. Osasuna: A. Bonel, R. Del Castillo, J. Herrando, A. Oroz. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 43% chance (odds 2.31), against 57% for under 2.5 (odds 1.77).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 47% (odds 2.02).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–0 (14.3%), 1–1 (12.2%), 2–0 (10.7%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.