Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 6–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Barcelona entertain Alavés on 31 October 2026 · 20:00 at Spotify Camp Nou (Barcelona), with Adrian Cordero Vega the man in the middle. Barcelona (86%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Barcelona vs Alavés: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.13 | 11.20 | 23.00 |
| Market average | 1.11 | 10.48 | 19.89 |
| Lowest odds | 1.08 | 8.30 | 12.52 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 1.04 | 89.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.20 | 78.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4.80 | 4.34 | 21.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.57 | 60.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.90 | 1.82 | 50.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.89 | 49.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 17:50. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Barcelona 3–0 Alavés, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Barcelona 1st (30 points), Alavés 10th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Barcelona 9W 0D 1L (40:11), Alavés 3W 3D 4L (14:11).
- H2H: 19 matches: Barcelona 15W 2D 2L, goals 51–12.
- Absences: Barcelona 6, Alavés 2.
Who will win Barcelona vs Alavés?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Barcelona vs Alavés: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Barcelona vs Alavés: injuries, suspensions, absences
Barcelona
- R. Bardghjiknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Christensenmuscle injury · will miss the match
- X. Espartankle injury · will miss the match
- D. Olmogroin injury · will miss the match
- E. Garciamuscle injury · doubtful
- J. Koundeankle injury · doubtful
Alavés
- F. Garcessuspended · will miss the match
- M. Rodriguezankle injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Barcelona vs Alavés: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 12 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 10 | 2-5-3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Barcelona
Home and away
Barcelona vs Alavés: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Barcelona: 1st, 30 points from 11 matches (10W 0D 1L). Alavés: 10th, 12 points (3W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Barcelona 4.0 scored and 1.1 conceded, Alavés 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Barcelona: 9W 0D 1L, goals 40–11; Alavés: 3W 3D 4L, goals 14–11.
- Head to head. Head to head over 19 meetings: Barcelona 15 wins, Alavés 2 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 51–12.
What to expect
We make Barcelona the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 3–0 (10.3%). We expect goals and an open game.
The result only pays 1.13, so the goals markets are an option too: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.68), with a probability of 61% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 51% and over 2.5 goals is 78%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 19; Barcelona 15 wins, 2 draws, Alavés 2 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Barcelona 40–11, Alavés 14–11.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 78%.
- Not available: Barcelona 6, Alavés 2.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 51%, odds up to 1.90). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Barcelona: R. Bardghji, A. Christensen, X. Espart, D. Olmo, E. Garcia, J. Kounde. Not available for Alavés: F. Garces, M. Rodriguez. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Barcelona vs Alavés: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
BarcelonaWLWWWAlavésLDLLDBarcelona vs Alavés: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Barcelona vs Alavés: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Barcelona vs Alavés?
On the result, our pick is Barcelona to win (1.13); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.68). Prefer less risk? Go for Barcelona or draw (1X).
Who will win Barcelona vs Alavés?
As we see it: Barcelona to win 86%, the draw 9%, Alavés to win 5%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 20:00, at Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona. Referee: Adrian Cordero Vega.
Who will be missing?
Barcelona: R. Bardghji, A. Christensen, X. Espart, D. Olmo, E. Garcia, J. Kounde. Alavés: F. Garces, M. Rodriguez. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 78% chance (odds 1.25), against 22% for under 2.5 (odds 4.80).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 51% (odds 1.90).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 3–0 (10.3%), 2–0 (9.1%), 4–0 (8.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.