Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Celta Vigo entertain Alavés on 18 October 2026 · 15:15 at Municipal de Balaídos (Vigo), with José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Celta Vigo vs Alavés: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.37 | 3.24 | 3.70 |
| Market average | 2.27 | 3.15 | 3.47 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.48 | 38.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 1.55 | 61.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 5.25 | 4.89 | 19.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.05 | 2.04 | 45.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 13:33. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Celta Vigo 1–0 Alavés, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Celta Vigo 9th (12 points), Alavés 10th (12 points).
- Absences: Celta Vigo 0, Alavés 0.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Alavés?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Celta Vigo vs Alavés: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Celta Vigo vs Alavés: injuries, suspensions, absences
Celta Vigo
- No reported absences
Alavés
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Celta Vigo vs Alavés: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 12 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 10 | 2-5-3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Celta Vigo
Home and away
Celta Vigo vs Alavés: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Celta Vigo: 9th, 12 points from 11 matches (2W 6D 3L). Alavés: 10th, 12 points (3W 3D 5L).
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (13.9%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 46% and over 2.5 goals is 39%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 39%.
- Not available: Celta Vigo 0, Alavés 0.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Other option: Under 2.5 goals (probability 61%, odds up to 1.61). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Celta Vigo: no absences. Not available for Alavés: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Celta Vigo vs Alavés: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Celta Vigo vs Alavés?
On the result, our pick is Celta Vigo or draw (1X) (1.35); on goals, Over 1.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Celta Vigo or draw (1X).
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Alavés?
As we see it: Celta Vigo to win 42%, the draw 30%, Alavés to win 28%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
18 October 2026, 15:15, at Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo. Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Celta Vigo: no absences. Alavés: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 39% chance (odds 2.55), against 61% for under 2.5 (odds 1.61).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 46% (odds 2.05).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–0 (13.9%), 1–1 (13.2%), 0–0 (11.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.