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Serie A · Matchweek 7 · 18 October 2026 · 14:00

Fiorentina vs Como tip, odds and prediction, 18 October 2026, Serie A

1–3
WWWWD
1Fiorentina3.29
XDraw3.70
2Como2.33

Top odds available · Updated 18/10/26, 12:54

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Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Fiorentina v Como takes place on 18 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence); Marco Di Bello, Italy will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Fiorentina vs Como: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Como (X2)
1.40
Goals
Both teams to score
1.53
69%chance of the result
62%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Fiorentina vs Como: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.293.702.33
Market average3.083.552.25
Lowest odds2.803.482.20
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1780.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.651.6258.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.352.2841.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.542.4438.5%
BTTS – yes1.531.5161.8%
BTTS – no2.542.4438.2%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 12:54. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.2%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Fiorentina 1–1 Como, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Fiorentina 17th (5 points), Como 4th (23 points).
  • Absences: Fiorentina 0, Como 0.

Who will win Fiorentina vs Como?

Fiorentina31%
Draw27%
Como42%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Fiorentina vs Como: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals80.0% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.20
Likely
Draw or Como (X2)69.1% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.40
Likely
Both teams score: yes61.8% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.53
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.5% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.5% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.65
Possible
Como to win42.3% · fair odds 2.36 · best 2.33
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals41.5% · fair odds 2.41 · best 2.35
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.5% · fair odds 2.60 · best 2.54
Outsider
Both teams score: no38.2% · fair odds 2.61 · best 2.54
Outsider
Fiorentina to win30.9% · fair odds 3.23 · best 3.29
Outsider
Draw26.8% · fair odds 3.74 · best 3.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.08 · Under 1.69
probability of over 44.9%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.72 · Under 2.07
probability of over 54.7%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.9%
1 : 29.0%
0 : 17.8%
2 : 17.7%
1 : 06.6%
0 : 26.4%

Fiorentina vs Como: injuries, suspensions, absences

Fiorentina

  • No reported absences

Como

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Fiorentina vs Como: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Lazio109-1-024:828
2Inter108-1-126:1325
3AS Roma107-3-028:1024
4Como107-2-118:823
5AC Milan106-3-121:1221
6Frosinone106-2-224:1420
7Juventus105-2-313:1017
8Napoli104-2-417:1314
9Bologna104-2-414:1314
10Torino104-1-514:1613
11Genoa104-1-510:1413
12Cagliari104-1-59:1513
13Atalanta93-2-416:1711
14Lecce103-0-711:219
15Sassuolo92-2-514:228
16Monza102-1-717:247
17Fiorentina91-2-611:215
18Parma91-2-65:155
19Udinese101-2-711:235
20Venezia101-0-96:203

Recent matches

Fiorentina

29 OctDFiorentina 2–2 Atalanta
25 OctLInter 2–1 Fiorentina
18 OctLFiorentina 1–3 Como
10 OctLGenoa 2–1 Fiorentina
20 SeptDFiorentina 1–1 Napoli

Como

1 NovWComo 1–0 Venezia
27 OctWTorino 1–3 Como
24 OctWComo 2–0 Sassuolo
21 OctWComo 4–1 Manchester United
18 OctWFiorentina 1–3 Como

Home and away

Fiorentina at home5 matches: 0W 2D 3L, goals 5–11
Como away6 matches: 4W 1D 1L, goals 13–7

Fiorentina vs Como: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Fiorentina: 17th, 5 points from 9 matches (1W 2D 6L). Como: 4th, 23 points (7W 2D 1L).

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.9%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.53), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
  2. Not available: Fiorentina 0, Como 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 62%, odds up to 1.53). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Fiorentina: no absences. Not available for Como: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.2%

Fiorentina vs Como: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Fiorentina vs Como?

On the result, our pick is Draw or Como (X2) (1.40); on goals, Both teams to score (1.53). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Como (X2).

Who will win Fiorentina vs Como?

As we see it: Fiorentina to win 31%, the draw 27%, Como to win 42%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

18 October 2026, 14:00, at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence. Referee: Marco Di Bello, Italy.

Who will be missing?

Fiorentina: no absences. Como: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.65), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.35).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.53).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.9%), 1–2 (9.0%), 0–1 (7.8%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina 2 NovAtalanta vs Parma 2 NovVenezia vs Udinese 6 NovCagliari vs Frosinone 7 NovTorino vs Lecce 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.