Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sarpsborg 08 FF and Rosenborg meet on 18 October 2026 · 13:30 at Sarpsborg Stadion (Sarpsberg), under referee Espen Eskås, Norway. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.36 | 4.02 | 2.78 |
| Market average | 2.29 | 3.81 | 2.69 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.70 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 82.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.71 | 2.53 | 36.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.26 | 2.20 | 42.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.42 | 65.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.75 | 2.66 | 34.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 12:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–1 Rosenborg, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Sarpsborg 08 FF 9th (31 points), Rosenborg 4th (43 points).
- H2H: 23 matches: Sarpsborg 08 FF 7W 7D 9L, goals 38–43.
- Absences: Sarpsborg 08 FF 0, Rosenborg 0.
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: injuries, suspensions, absences
Sarpsborg 08 FF
- No reported absences
Rosenborg
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Home and away
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Sarpsborg 08 FF: 9th, 31 points from 25 matches (8W 7D 10L). Rosenborg: 4th, 43 points (13W 4D 8L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 23 meetings: Sarpsborg 08 FF 7 wins, Rosenborg 9 wins, plus 7 draws; goals 38–43.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
The two signals clash: on table position the Rosenborg look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 65% and over 2.5 goals is 63%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 23; Sarpsborg 08 FF 7 wins, 7 draws, Rosenborg 9 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.5 per match.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 63%.
- Not available: Sarpsborg 08 FF 0, Rosenborg 0.
Alternative tip: Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw (1X)
Other option: Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw (1X) (probability 65%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Sarpsborg 08 FF: no absences. Not available for Rosenborg: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: head to head
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Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg?
On the result, our pick is Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw (1X) (1.50); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw (1X).
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg?
As we see it: Sarpsborg 08 FF to win 41%, the draw 25%, Rosenborg to win 35%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
18 October 2026, 13:30, at Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg. Referee: Espen Eskås, Norway.
Who will be missing?
Sarpsborg 08 FF: no absences. Rosenborg: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 63% chance (odds 1.50), against 37% for under 2.5 (odds 2.71).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 65% (odds 1.44).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.2%), 2–1 (8.7%), 1–2 (7.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.