Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sarpsborg 08 FF entertain Kristiansund BK on 1 November 2026 · 16:00 at Sarpsborg Stadion (Sarpsberg), with Mathias Stofringshaug the man in the middle. Sarpsborg 08 FF (63%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.53 | 4.70 | 6.31 |
| Market average | 1.48 | 4.49 | 5.70 |
| Lowest odds | 1.44 | 4.20 | 5.32 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.11 | 84.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.42 | 65.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.74 | 34.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.09 | 45.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.36 | 39.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 12:07. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 Kristiansund BK, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sarpsborg 08 FF 9th (31 points), Kristiansund BK 15th (23 points).
- Form in the competition: Sarpsborg 08 FF 8W 7D 9L (30:35), Kristiansund BK 5W 5D 14L (25:49).
- H2H: 18 matches: Sarpsborg 08 FF 4W 6D 8L, goals 21–28.
- Absences: Sarpsborg 08 FF 3, Kristiansund BK 4.
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: injuries, suspensions, absences
Sarpsborg 08 FF
- F. Carstenseninjury · will miss the match
- D. Karlsbakkabsence · will miss the match
- M. Opokuankle injury · will miss the match
Kristiansund BK
- I. H. Aalberggroin injury · will miss the match
- L. Alvheimabsence · will miss the match
- D. Ulvestadred card · will miss the match
- W. Igorknee injury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Home and away
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Sarpsborg 08 FF: 9th, 31 points from 25 matches (8W 7D 10L). Kristiansund BK: 15th, 23 points (6W 5D 14L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded, Kristiansund BK 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sarpsborg 08 FF: 8W 7D 9L, goals 30–35; Kristiansund BK: 5W 5D 14L, goals 25–49.
- Head to head. Head to head over 18 meetings: Sarpsborg 08 FF 4 wins, Kristiansund BK 8 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 21–28.
What to expect
We make Sarpsborg 08 FF the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.8%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 66% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 61% and over 2.5 goals is 66%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 18; Sarpsborg 08 FF 4 wins, 6 draws, Kristiansund BK 8 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.7 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Sarpsborg 08 FF 30–35, Kristiansund BK 25–49.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 66%.
- Not available: Sarpsborg 08 FF 3, Kristiansund BK 4.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 61%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Sarpsborg 08 FF: F. Carstensen, D. Karlsbakk, M. Opoku. Not available for Kristiansund BK: I. H. Aalberg, L. Alvheim, D. Ulvestad, W. Igor. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Sarpsborg 08 FFLWLWLKristiansund BKWDLLLSarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK?
On the result, our pick is Sarpsborg 08 FF to win (1.53); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw (1X).
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK?
As we see it: Sarpsborg 08 FF to win 63%, the draw 21%, Kristiansund BK to win 16%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
1 November 2026, 16:00, at Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg. Referee: Mathias Stofringshaug.
Who will be missing?
Sarpsborg 08 FF: F. Carstensen, D. Karlsbakk, M. Opoku. Kristiansund BK: I. H. Aalberg, L. Alvheim, D. Ulvestad, W. Igor. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 66% chance (odds 1.47), against 34% for under 2.5 (odds 2.88).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 61% (odds 1.57).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.8%), 2–0 (8.9%), 1–1 (8.7%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.