Bet with MINO CASINO →Newcastle and Arsenal meet on 21 November 2026 · 17:30 at St. James' Park (Newcastle). Arsenal (59%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Newcastle vs Arsenal: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 5.54 | 4.42 | 1.64 |
| Market average | 5.30 | 4.21 | 1.61 |
| Lowest odds | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.57 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.21 | 78.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.71 | 56.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.21 | 43.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.71 | 34.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.04 | 45.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:38. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Newcastle 1–1 Arsenal, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Newcastle 12th (11 points), Arsenal 1st (24 points).
- Absences: Newcastle 0, Arsenal 0.
Who will win Newcastle vs Arsenal?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Newcastle vs Arsenal: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Newcastle vs Arsenal: injuries, suspensions, absences
Newcastle
- No reported absences
Arsenal
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Newcastle vs Arsenal: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 10 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 11 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 8 | 3-2-3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 13 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 14 |  Everton | 8 | 2-4-2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Newcastle
Home and away
Newcastle vs Arsenal: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Newcastle: 12th, 11 points from 8 matches (3W 2D 3L). Arsenal: 1st, 24 points (8W 0D 1L).
What to expect
We make Arsenal the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 56%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Not available: Newcastle 0, Arsenal 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 56%, odds up to 1.75). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Newcastle: no absences. Not available for Arsenal: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Newcastle vs Arsenal: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Newcastle vs Arsenal?
On the result, our pick is Arsenal to win (1.64); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Arsenal (X2).
Who will win Newcastle vs Arsenal?
As we see it: Newcastle to win 18%, the draw 23%, Arsenal to win 59%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
21 November 2026, 17:30, at St. James' Park, Newcastle.
Who will be missing?
Newcastle: no absences. Arsenal: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 56% chance (odds 1.75), against 44% for under 2.5 (odds 2.25).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.75).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.2%), 0–1 (10.2%), 1–2 (10.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.