Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Crystal Palace and Newcastle meet on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Selhurst Park (London), under referee Paul Tierney. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.71 | 3.65 | 2.71 |
| Market average | 2.61 | 3.53 | 2.62 |
| Lowest odds | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.19 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.65 | 57.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.26 | 42.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.51 | 37.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.50 | 62.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.46 | 37.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 13:09. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Crystal Palace 1–1 Newcastle, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Crystal Palace 18th (7 points), Newcastle 12th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Crystal Palace 2W 1D 4L (9:17), Newcastle 2W 2D 3L (10:14).
- H2H: 27 matches: Crystal Palace 6W 9D 12L, goals 22–36.
- Absences: Crystal Palace 5, Newcastle 4.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: injuries, suspensions, absences
Crystal Palace
- C. Riadknee injury · will miss the match
- T. Tomiyasucalf injury · will miss the match
- D. Hendersonfoot injury · doubtful
- J. Larseninjury · doubtful
- Q. Timberinjury · doubtful
Newcastle
- E. Jaouenmuscle injury · will miss the match
- V. Livramentoknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Elangaknee injury · doubtful
- J. Ramseythigh injury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 10 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 11 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 8 | 3-2-3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 13 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 14 |  Everton | 8 | 2-4-2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Crystal Palace
Home and away
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Crystal Palace: 18th, 7 points from 9 matches (2W 1D 6L). Newcastle: 12th, 11 points (3W 2D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Crystal Palace 1.3 scored and 2.4 conceded, Newcastle 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Crystal Palace: 2W 1D 4L, goals 9–17; Newcastle: 2W 2D 3L, goals 10–14.
- Head to head. Head to head over 27 meetings: Crystal Palace 6 wins, Newcastle 12 wins, plus 9 draws; goals 22–36.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
The two signals clash: on table position the Newcastle look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 27; Crystal Palace 6 wins, 9 draws, Newcastle 12 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.1 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Crystal Palace 9–17, Newcastle 10–14.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Not available: Crystal Palace 5, Newcastle 4.
Alternative tip: Crystal Palace or draw (1X)
Other option: Crystal Palace or draw (1X) (probability 64%, odds up to 1.53). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Crystal Palace: C. Riad, T. Tomiyasu, D. Henderson, J. Larsen, Q. Timber. Not available for Newcastle: E. Jaouen, V. Livramento, A. Elanga, J. Ramsey. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Crystal PalaceLLLWDNewcastleWLLWLCrystal Palace vs Newcastle: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
On the result, our pick is Crystal Palace or draw (1X) (1.53); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.57). Prefer less risk? Go for Crystal Palace or draw (1X).
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
As we see it: Crystal Palace to win 37%, the draw 27%, Newcastle to win 36%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 14:00, at Selhurst Park, London. Referee: Paul Tierney.
Who will be missing?
Crystal Palace: C. Riad, T. Tomiyasu, D. Henderson, J. Larsen, Q. Timber. Newcastle: E. Jaouen, V. Livramento, A. Elanga, J. Ramsey. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.70), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.55).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.2%), 1–2 (8.4%), 2–1 (8.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.