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Premier League · Matchweek 7 · 18 October 2026 · 16:30

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal tip, odds and prediction, 18 October 2026, Premier League

1Nottingham Forest5.96
XDraw4.00
2Arsenal1.68

Top odds available · Updated 18/10/26, 13:08

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Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Nottingham Forest v Arsenal takes place on 18 October 2026 · 16:30 at City Ground (Nottingham); Michael Oliver, England will referee. We back Arsenal (58%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: tip and prediction
Result
Arsenal to win
1.68
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.90
Combo
Arsenal & over 2.5 goals
2.81
36% · fair combo odds
58%chance of the result
52%goals tip: chance
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Arsenal (X2) – probability 83%, odds up to 1.17.

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Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available5.964.001.68
Market average5.613.891.63
Lowest odds5.003.751.57
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.271.2575.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.901.8452.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.052.0048.0%
Over 3.5 goals3.203.0331.1%
BTTS – yes1.861.8350.8%
BTTS – no1.951.8949.2%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 13:08. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.0%.

All bookmakers →

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Nottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Nottingham Forest 19th (6 points), Arsenal 1st (24 points).
  • Absences: Nottingham Forest 0, Arsenal 0.

Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?

Nottingham Forest17%
Draw24%
Arsenal58%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: more betting markets

Draw or Arsenal (X2)83.0% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.17
Likely
Over 1.5 goals75.3% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.27
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.9% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.40
Likely
Arsenal to win58.5% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.68
Possible
Over 2.5 goals52.0% · fair odds 1.92 · best 1.90
Possible
Both teams score: yes50.8% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.86
Possible
Both teams score: no49.2% · fair odds 2.03 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals48.0% · fair odds 2.08 · best 2.05
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals31.1% · fair odds 3.21 · best 3.20
Outsider
Draw24.5% · fair odds 4.09 · best 4.00
Outsider
Nottingham Forest to win17.0% · fair odds 5.87 · best 5.96
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.95 · Under 1.80
probability of over 48.1%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 2.19 · Under 1.65
probability of over 42.9%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 112.1%
0 : 210.9%
1 : 110.9%
1 : 29.8%
0 : 06.7%
0 : 36.5%

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: injuries, suspensions, absences

Nottingham Forest

  • No reported absences

Arsenal

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Arsenal98-0-114:524
2Manchester City97-0-220:1021
3Brighton96-1-224:719
4Chelsea95-1-319:1516
5Liverpool94-3-211:915
6Brentford93-5-116:914
7Bournemouth93-3-314:1312
8Tottenham93-3-310:1012
9Aston Villa93-3-310:1312
10Hull City92-5-211:1011
11Leeds92-5-29:811
12Newcastle83-2-312:1411
13Ipswich93-2-414:1811
14Everton82-4-28:910
15Fulham92-3-49:119
16Coventry93-0-69:169
17Manchester United91-4-410:157
18Crystal Palace92-1-69:217
19Nottingham Forest91-3-56:126
20Sunderland91-2-67:175

Recent matches

Nottingham Forest

31 OctLBrentford 2–0 Nottingham Forest
23 OctDIpswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest
18 OctLNottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal
11 OctLCrystal Palace 3–1 Nottingham Forest
19 SeptLNottingham Forest 0–1 Coventry

Arsenal

1 NovWLiverpool 0–1 Arsenal
24 OctWArsenal 2–0 Everton
21 OctDBayern München 2–2 Arsenal
18 OctWNottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal
13 OctWArsenal 3–0 Lille

Home and away

Nottingham Forest at home4 matches: 0W 1D 3L, goals 0–3
Arsenal away5 matches: 4W 0D 1L, goals 5–3

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Nottingham Forest: 19th, 6 points from 9 matches (1W 3D 5L). Arsenal: 1st, 24 points (8W 0D 1L).

What to expect

We make Arsenal the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–1 (12.1%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.90), with a probability of 52% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 51% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
  2. Not available: Nottingham Forest 0, Arsenal 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 51%, odds up to 1.86). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Nottingham Forest: no absences. Not available for Arsenal: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.0%

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?

On the result, our pick is Arsenal to win (1.68); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.90). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Arsenal (X2).

Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?

As we see it: Nottingham Forest to win 17%, the draw 24%, Arsenal to win 58%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

18 October 2026, 16:30, at City Ground, Nottingham. Referee: Michael Oliver, England.

Who will be missing?

Nottingham Forest: no absences. Arsenal: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.90), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 2.05).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 51% (odds 1.86).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 0–1 (12.1%), 0–2 (10.9%), 1–1 (10.9%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.