Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Motherwell entertain ST Mirren on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Fir Park (Motherwell). Motherwell (51%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.88 | 3.98 | 4.10 |
| Market average | 1.83 | 3.81 | 3.88 |
| Lowest odds | 1.78 | 3.37 | 3.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 79.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 1.59 | 58.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.32 | 2.26 | 41.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.64 | 2.51 | 37.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.56 | 59.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.30 | 40.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 13:17. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Motherwell 1–1 ST Mirren, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Motherwell 9th (12 points), ST Mirren 8th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Motherwell 2W 3D 6L (13:20), ST Mirren 4W 2D 5L (12:19).
- H2H: 48 matches: Motherwell 20W 17D 11L, goals 70–46.
- Absences: Motherwell 0, ST Mirren 0.
Who will win Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: injuries, suspensions, absences
Motherwell
- No reported absences
ST Mirren
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Motherwell
Home and away
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Motherwell: 9th, 12 points from 12 matches (3W 3D 6L). ST Mirren: 8th, 14 points (4W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Motherwell 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded, ST Mirren 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Motherwell: 2W 3D 6L, goals 13–20; ST Mirren: 4W 2D 5L, goals 12–19.
- Head to head. Head to head over 48 meetings: Motherwell 20 wins, ST Mirren 11 wins, plus 17 draws; goals 70–46.
What to expect
We make Motherwell the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.8%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 48; Motherwell 20 wins, 17 draws, ST Mirren 11 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.4 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Motherwell 13–20, ST Mirren 12–19.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Not available: Motherwell 0, ST Mirren 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Motherwell: no absences. Not available for ST Mirren: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
MotherwellWDLLLST MirrenLDWLLMotherwell vs ST Mirren: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
On the result, our pick is Motherwell to win (1.88); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.55). Prefer less risk? Go for Motherwell or draw (1X).
Who will win Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
As we see it: Motherwell to win 51%, the draw 25%, ST Mirren to win 24%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 15:00, at Fir Park, Motherwell.
Who will be missing?
Motherwell: no absences. ST Mirren: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.66), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.32).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.8%), 2–1 (9.7%), 1–0 (9.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.