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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 13 · 8 November 2026 · 15:00

Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk tip, odds and prediction, 8 November 2026, Scottish Premiership

1Heart Of Midlothian1.53
XDraw5.00
2Falkirk6.03

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 03:35

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Heart Of Midlothian v Falkirk takes place on 8 November 2026 · 15:00 at Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh). We back Heart Of Midlothian (63%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: tip and prediction
Result
Heart Of Midlothian to win
1.53
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.57
Combo
Heart Of Midlothian & over 2.5 goals
2.25
45% · fair combo odds
63%chance of the result
62%goals tip: chance
2–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Heart Of Midlothian or draw (1X) – probability 84%, odds up to 1.18.

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Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.535.006.03
Market average1.484.605.69
Lowest odds1.454.005.25
Megapari1.474.555.87
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.181.1581.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.571.5162.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.622.4638.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.402.3440.5%
BTTS – yes1.751.6755.9%
BTTS – no2.252.1244.1%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:35. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.0%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 12:56. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 Falkirk, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Heart Of Midlothian 3rd (20 points), Falkirk 4th (18 points).
  • Form in the competition: Heart Of Midlothian 6W 2D 3L (24:17), Falkirk 4W 3D 4L (13:12).
  • H2H: 13 matches: Heart Of Midlothian 9W 1D 3L, goals 27–10.
  • Absences: Heart Of Midlothian 0, Falkirk 0.

Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?

Heart Of Midlothian63%
Draw20%
Falkirk16%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: more betting markets

Heart Of Midlothian or draw (1X)83.5% · fair odds 1.20 · best 1.18
Likely
Over 1.5 goals81.1% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.18
Likely
Heart Of Midlothian to win63.2% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.53
Likely
Over 2.5 goals62.0% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.57
Likely
Under 3.5 goals59.5% · fair odds 1.68 · best 1.62
Possible
Both teams score: yes55.9% · fair odds 1.79 · best 1.75
Possible
Both teams score: no44.1% · fair odds 2.27 · best 2.25
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals40.5% · fair odds 2.47 · best 2.40
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.0% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.62
Outsider
Draw20.4% · fair odds 4.90 · best 5.00
Outsider
Falkirk to win16.5% · fair odds 6.08 · best 6.03
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.00 · Under 1.73
probability of over 46.4%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 19.9%
2 : 09.9%
1 : 19.2%
1 : 09.2%
3 : 07.1%
3 : 17.1%

Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: injuries, suspensions, absences

Heart Of Midlothian

  • No reported absences

Falkirk

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Celtic129-1-227:1028
2Rangers117-3-119:924
3Heart Of Midlothian116-2-324:1720
4Falkirk125-3-415:1218
5Dundee115-2-417:1317
6Dundee Utd114-4-316:1616
7ST Johnstone123-5-415:1914
8ST Mirren124-2-612:2014
9Motherwell123-3-614:2012
10Aberdeen113-2-612:1411
11Kilmarnock122-3-713:289
12Hibernian112-2-711:178

Recent matches

Heart Of Midlothian

28 OctDHeart Of Midlothian 2–2 Rangers
25 OctWMotherwell 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian
22 OctLTrabzonspor 2–0 Heart Of Midlothian
18 OctLCeltic 7–1 Heart Of Midlothian
15 OctDHeart Of Midlothian 1–1 FC Nordsjælland

Falkirk

1 NovWFalkirk 2–0 Celtic
28 OctWAberdeen 0–1 Falkirk
24 OctWFalkirk 3–0 Kilmarnock
17 OctWHibernian 1–2 Falkirk
10 OctLFalkirk 1–2 Dundee

Home and away

Heart Of Midlothian at home5 matches: 4W 1D 0L, goals 15–4
Falkirk away6 matches: 2W 3D 1L, goals 6–5

Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Heart Of Midlothian: 3rd, 20 points from 11 matches (6W 2D 3L). Falkirk: 4th, 18 points (5W 3D 4L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Heart Of Midlothian 2.2 scored and 1.5 conceded, Falkirk 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Heart Of Midlothian: 6W 2D 3L, goals 24–17; Falkirk: 4W 3D 4L, goals 13–12.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 13 meetings: Heart Of Midlothian 9 wins, Falkirk 3 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 27–10.

What to expect

We make Heart Of Midlothian the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 62%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 13; Heart Of Midlothian 9 wins, 1 draw, Falkirk 3 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.8 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Heart Of Midlothian 24–17, Falkirk 13–12.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 62%.
  5. Not available: Heart Of Midlothian 0, Falkirk 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. Not available for Falkirk: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: the numbers side by side

Heart Of MidlothianFalkirk
44%Form56%
58%Attack42%
29%Defence71%
60%Head to head40%
67%Goals33%
55.2%Overall44.8%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

Heart Of MidlothianDWLWD
FalkirkWWWWL

Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: head to head

All matches
9Heart Of Midlothian
1Draws
3Falkirk
15/9/26 · Falkirk 2–1 Heart Of Midlothian
13/5/26 · Heart Of Midlothian 3–0 Falkirk
21/2/26 · Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Falkirk
17/1/26 · Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 Falkirk
13/12/25 · Falkirk 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian
27/9/25 · Heart Of Midlothian 3–0 Falkirk

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.0%

Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?

On the result, our pick is Heart Of Midlothian to win (1.53); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.57). Prefer less risk? Go for Heart Of Midlothian or draw (1X).

Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?

As we see it: Heart Of Midlothian to win 63%, the draw 20%, Falkirk to win 16%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

8 November 2026, 15:00, at Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh.

Who will be missing?

Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. Falkirk: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 62% chance (odds 1.57), against 38% for under 2.5 (odds 2.62).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.75).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–1 (9.9%), 2–0 (9.9%), 1–1 (9.2%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

ST Johnstone vs Dundee 7 NovDundee Utd vs Motherwell 7 NovAberdeen vs Hibernian 7 NovST Mirren vs Rangers 7 NovCeltic vs Kilmarnock 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.