Heart Of Midlothian v Falkirk takes place on 8 November 2026 · 15:00 at Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh). We back Heart Of Midlothian (63%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.53 | 5.00 | 6.03 |
| Market average | 1.48 | 4.60 | 5.69 |
| Lowest odds | 1.45 | 4.00 | 5.25 |
| Megapari | 1.47 | 4.55 | 5.87 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.51 | 62.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.46 | 38.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.34 | 40.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.67 | 55.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.12 | 44.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:35. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.0%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 12:56. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 Falkirk, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Heart Of Midlothian 3rd (20 points), Falkirk 4th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Heart Of Midlothian 6W 2D 3L (24:17), Falkirk 4W 3D 4L (13:12).
- H2H: 13 matches: Heart Of Midlothian 9W 1D 3L, goals 27–10.
- Absences: Heart Of Midlothian 0, Falkirk 0.
Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: injuries, suspensions, absences
Heart Of Midlothian
- No reported absences
Falkirk
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 | |
| 4 | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 | |
| 6 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 | |
| 7 | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 | |
| 8 | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 | |
| 9 | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 | |
| 11 | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 | |
| 12 | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Heart Of Midlothian
Home and away
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Heart Of Midlothian: 3rd, 20 points from 11 matches (6W 2D 3L). Falkirk: 4th, 18 points (5W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Heart Of Midlothian 2.2 scored and 1.5 conceded, Falkirk 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Heart Of Midlothian: 6W 2D 3L, goals 24–17; Falkirk: 4W 3D 4L, goals 13–12.
- Head to head. Head to head over 13 meetings: Heart Of Midlothian 9 wins, Falkirk 3 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 27–10.
What to expect
We make Heart Of Midlothian the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 62%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 13; Heart Of Midlothian 9 wins, 1 draw, Falkirk 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.8 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Heart Of Midlothian 24–17, Falkirk 13–12.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Not available: Heart Of Midlothian 0, Falkirk 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. Not available for Falkirk: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
On the result, our pick is Heart Of Midlothian to win (1.53); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.57). Prefer less risk? Go for Heart Of Midlothian or draw (1X).
Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
As we see it: Heart Of Midlothian to win 63%, the draw 20%, Falkirk to win 16%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
8 November 2026, 15:00, at Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh.
Who will be missing?
Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. Falkirk: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 62% chance (odds 1.57), against 38% for under 2.5 (odds 2.62).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.75).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.9%), 2–0 (9.9%), 1–1 (9.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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