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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 11 · 28 October 2026 · 19:45

ST Mirren vs Hibernian tip, odds and prediction, 28 October 2026, Scottish Premiership

1–1
1ST Mirren3.30
XDraw3.53
2Hibernian2.26

Top odds available · Updated 28/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

ST Mirren entertain Hibernian on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at The SMiSA Stadium (Paisley). We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

ST Mirren vs Hibernian: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Hibernian (X2)
1.33
Goals
Both teams to score
1.70
71%chance of the result
55%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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ST Mirren vs Hibernian: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.303.532.26
Market average3.223.392.21
Lowest odds3.123.252.17
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.271.2575.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.891.8351.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.001.9848.1%
Over 3.5 goals3.163.0131.2%
BTTS – yes1.701.6755.4%
BTTS – no2.102.0844.6%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.8%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: ST Mirren 1–1 Hibernian, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: ST Mirren 8th (14 points), Hibernian 12th (8 points).
  • Form in the competition: ST Mirren 4W 1D 5L (11:18), Hibernian 2W 1D 7L (10:16).
  • H2H: 53 matches: ST Mirren 12W 16D 25L, goals 57–80.
  • Absences: ST Mirren 0, Hibernian 0.

Who will win ST Mirren vs Hibernian?

ST Mirren29%
Draw28%
Hibernian43%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

ST Mirren vs Hibernian: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals75.4% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.27
Likely
Draw or Hibernian (X2)70.7% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.33
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.8% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.40
Likely
Both teams score: yes55.4% · fair odds 1.80 · best 1.70
Possible
Over 2.5 goals51.9% · fair odds 1.93 · best 1.89
Possible
Under 2.5 goals48.1% · fair odds 2.08 · best 2.00
Outsider
Both teams score: no44.6% · fair odds 2.24 · best 2.10
Outsider
Hibernian to win42.8% · fair odds 2.34 · best 2.26
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals31.2% · fair odds 3.20 · best 3.16
Outsider
ST Mirren to win29.3% · fair odds 3.41 · best 3.30
Outsider
Draw27.9% · fair odds 3.59 · best 3.53
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.86 · Under 1.88
probability of over 50.2%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.1%
0 : 110.1%
1 : 29.1%
1 : 08.1%
0 : 27.6%
2 : 17.3%

ST Mirren vs Hibernian: injuries, suspensions, absences

ST Mirren

  • No reported absences

Hibernian

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

ST Mirren vs Hibernian: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Celtic129-1-227:1028
2Rangers117-3-119:924
3Heart Of Midlothian116-2-324:1720
4Falkirk125-3-415:1218
5Dundee115-2-417:1317
6Dundee Utd114-4-316:1616
7ST Johnstone123-5-415:1914
8ST Mirren124-2-612:2014
9Motherwell123-3-614:2012
10Aberdeen113-2-612:1411
11Kilmarnock122-3-713:289
12Hibernian112-2-711:178

Recent matches

ST Mirren

31 OctLMotherwell 1–0 ST Mirren
28 OctDST Mirren 1–1 Hibernian
24 OctWST Mirren 2–1 Dundee
17 OctLAberdeen 3–1 ST Mirren
10 OctLHeart Of Midlothian 5–0 ST Mirren

Hibernian

28 OctDST Mirren 1–1 Hibernian
25 OctLHibernian 1–2 Celtic
17 OctLHibernian 1–2 Falkirk
10 OctLDundee Utd 1–0 Hibernian
19 SeptDHibernian 1–1 Aberdeen

Home and away

ST Mirren at home6 matches: 2W 2D 2L, goals 8–10
Hibernian away5 matches: 2W 1D 2L, goals 6–6

ST Mirren vs Hibernian: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. ST Mirren: 8th, 14 points from 12 matches (4W 2D 6L). Hibernian: 12th, 8 points (2W 2D 7L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: ST Mirren 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded, Hibernian 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. ST Mirren: 4W 1D 5L, goals 11–18; Hibernian: 2W 1D 7L, goals 10–16.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 53 meetings: ST Mirren 12 wins, Hibernian 25 wins, plus 16 draws; goals 57–80.

What to expect

We make Hibernian the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.1%). We see a fairly level contest.

The two signals clash: on table position the ST Mirren look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the away side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.70), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 53; ST Mirren 12 wins, 16 draws, Hibernian 25 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: ST Mirren 11–18, Hibernian 10–16.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
  5. Not available: ST Mirren 0, Hibernian 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 55%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for ST Mirren: no absences. Not available for Hibernian: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

ST Mirren vs Hibernian: the numbers side by side

ST MirrenHibernian
75%Form25%
50%Attack50%
35%Defence65%
25%Head to head75%
27%Goals73%
42.2%Overall57.8%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

ST MirrenLDWLL
HibernianDLLLD

ST Mirren vs Hibernian: head to head

All matches
12ST Mirren
16Draws
25Hibernian
28/10/26 · ST Mirren 1–1 Hibernian
14/2/26 · Hibernian 2–0 ST Mirren
8/11/25 · ST Mirren 0–3 Hibernian
31/8/25 · Hibernian 1–1 ST Mirren
14/5/25 · ST Mirren 2–2 Hibernian
16/2/25 · ST Mirren 0–0 Hibernian

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.8%

ST Mirren vs Hibernian: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for ST Mirren vs Hibernian?

On the result, our pick is Draw or Hibernian (X2) (1.33); on goals, Both teams to score (1.70). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Hibernian (X2).

Who will win ST Mirren vs Hibernian?

As we see it: ST Mirren to win 29%, the draw 28%, Hibernian to win 43%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

28 October 2026, 19:45, at The SMiSA Stadium, Paisley.

Who will be missing?

ST Mirren: no absences. Hibernian: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.89), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 2.00).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.70).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.1%), 0–1 (10.1%), 1–2 (9.1%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

ST Johnstone vs Dundee 7 NovDundee Utd vs Motherwell 7 NovAberdeen vs Hibernian 7 NovST Mirren vs Rangers 7 NovHeart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.