Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
ST Mirren entertain Hibernian on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at The SMiSA Stadium (Paisley). We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.30 | 3.53 | 2.26 |
| Market average | 3.22 | 3.39 | 2.21 |
| Lowest odds | 3.12 | 3.25 | 2.17 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.25 | 75.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.89 | 1.83 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.98 | 48.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.16 | 3.01 | 31.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.67 | 55.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.08 | 44.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: ST Mirren 1–1 Hibernian, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: ST Mirren 8th (14 points), Hibernian 12th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: ST Mirren 4W 1D 5L (11:18), Hibernian 2W 1D 7L (10:16).
- H2H: 53 matches: ST Mirren 12W 16D 25L, goals 57–80.
- Absences: ST Mirren 0, Hibernian 0.
Who will win ST Mirren vs Hibernian?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: injuries, suspensions, absences
ST Mirren
- No reported absences
Hibernian
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 | |
| 4 | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 | |
| 6 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 | |
| 7 | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 | |
| 8 | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 | |
| 9 | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 | |
| 11 | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 | |
| 12 | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
ST Mirren
Home and away
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. ST Mirren: 8th, 14 points from 12 matches (4W 2D 6L). Hibernian: 12th, 8 points (2W 2D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: ST Mirren 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded, Hibernian 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. ST Mirren: 4W 1D 5L, goals 11–18; Hibernian: 2W 1D 7L, goals 10–16.
- Head to head. Head to head over 53 meetings: ST Mirren 12 wins, Hibernian 25 wins, plus 16 draws; goals 57–80.
What to expect
We make Hibernian the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.1%). We see a fairly level contest.
The two signals clash: on table position the ST Mirren look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the away side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.70), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 53; ST Mirren 12 wins, 16 draws, Hibernian 25 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: ST Mirren 11–18, Hibernian 10–16.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Not available: ST Mirren 0, Hibernian 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 55%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for ST Mirren: no absences. Not available for Hibernian: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for ST Mirren vs Hibernian?
On the result, our pick is Draw or Hibernian (X2) (1.33); on goals, Both teams to score (1.70). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Hibernian (X2).
Who will win ST Mirren vs Hibernian?
As we see it: ST Mirren to win 29%, the draw 28%, Hibernian to win 43%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
28 October 2026, 19:45, at The SMiSA Stadium, Paisley.
Who will be missing?
ST Mirren: no absences. Hibernian: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.89), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 2.00).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.70).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.1%), 0–1 (10.1%), 1–2 (9.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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