Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Motherwell entertain Heart Of Midlothian on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Fir Park (Motherwell), with D. Nicolson the man in the middle. Heart Of Midlothian (45%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.35 | 3.85 | 2.12 |
| Market average | 3.24 | 3.69 | 2.08 |
| Lowest odds | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.19 | 78.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.63 | 57.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.33 | 2.23 | 42.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.57 | 36.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.54 | 60.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.35 | 39.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 12:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Motherwell 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Motherwell 9th (12 points), Heart Of Midlothian 3rd (20 points).
- H2H: 50 matches: Motherwell 18W 9D 23L, goals 55–74.
- Absences: Motherwell 0, Heart Of Midlothian 0.
Who will win Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: injuries, suspensions, absences
Motherwell
- No reported absences
Heart Of Midlothian
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Motherwell
Home and away
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Motherwell: 9th, 12 points from 12 matches (3W 3D 6L). Heart Of Midlothian: 3rd, 20 points (6W 2D 3L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 50 meetings: Motherwell 18 wins, Heart Of Midlothian 23 wins, plus 9 draws; goals 55–74.
What to expect
We make Heart Of Midlothian the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 50; Motherwell 18 wins, 9 draws, Heart Of Midlothian 23 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Not available: Motherwell 0, Heart Of Midlothian 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.60). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Motherwell: no absences. Not available for Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: head to head
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Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
On the result, our pick is Heart Of Midlothian to win (2.12); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.53). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Heart Of Midlothian (X2).
Who will win Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
As we see it: Motherwell to win 29%, the draw 26%, Heart Of Midlothian to win 45%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 14:00, at Fir Park, Motherwell. Referee: D. Nicolson.
Who will be missing?
Motherwell: no absences. Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.67), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.33).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.60).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.2%), 1–2 (9.3%), 0–1 (8.6%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.