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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 10 · 24 October 2026 · 15:00

ST Mirren vs Dundee tip, odds and prediction, 24 October 2026, Scottish Premiership

2–1
WLDWW
1ST Mirren2.32
XDraw3.70
2Dundee3.05

Top odds available · Updated 24/10/26, 13:35

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Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

ST Mirren v Dundee takes place on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at The SMISA Stadium (Paisley); S. McLean will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

ST Mirren vs Dundee: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
ST Mirren or draw (1X)
1.42
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.50
68%chance of the result
65%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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ST Mirren vs Dundee: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.323.703.05
Market average2.263.572.95
Lowest odds2.233.402.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.231.1978.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.711.6556.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.222.1543.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.802.6835.1%
BTTS – yes1.571.5460.2%
BTTS – no2.502.3339.8%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 13:35. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.2%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: ST Mirren 8th (14 points), Dundee 5th (17 points).
  • H2H: 28 matches: ST Mirren 13W 5D 10L, goals 38–34.
  • Absences: ST Mirren 0, Dundee 0.

Who will win ST Mirren vs Dundee?

ST Mirren42%
Draw26%
Dundee32%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

ST Mirren vs Dundee: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals78.2% · fair odds 1.28 · best 1.23
Likely
ST Mirren or draw (1X)68.1% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.42
Likely
Under 3.5 goals64.9% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.50
Likely
Both teams score: yes60.2% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals56.5% · fair odds 1.77 · best 1.71
Possible
Under 2.5 goals43.5% · fair odds 2.30 · best 2.22
Outsider
ST Mirren to win41.7% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.32
Outsider
Both teams score: no39.8% · fair odds 2.51 · best 2.50
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals35.1% · fair odds 2.84 · best 2.80
Outsider
Dundee to win31.9% · fair odds 3.13 · best 3.05
Outsider
Draw26.4% · fair odds 3.79 · best 3.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.80 · Under 1.92
probability of over 51.6%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.82 · Under 1.86
probability of over 50.6%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.5%
2 : 18.9%
1 : 08.5%
1 : 27.8%
0 : 17.4%
2 : 06.6%

ST Mirren vs Dundee: injuries, suspensions, absences

ST Mirren

  • No reported absences

Dundee

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

ST Mirren vs Dundee: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Celtic129-1-227:1028
2Rangers117-3-119:924
3Heart Of Midlothian116-2-324:1720
4Falkirk125-3-415:1218
5Dundee115-2-417:1317
6Dundee Utd114-4-316:1616
7ST Johnstone123-5-415:1914
8ST Mirren124-2-612:2014
9Motherwell123-3-614:2012
10Aberdeen113-2-612:1411
11Kilmarnock122-3-713:289
12Hibernian112-2-711:178

Recent matches

ST Mirren

31 OctLMotherwell 1–0 ST Mirren
28 OctDST Mirren 1–1 Hibernian
24 OctWST Mirren 2–1 Dundee
17 OctLAberdeen 3–1 ST Mirren
10 OctLHeart Of Midlothian 5–0 ST Mirren

Dundee

28 OctWDundee 3–1 Kilmarnock
24 OctLST Mirren 2–1 Dundee
17 OctDDundee 2–2 Rangers
10 OctWFalkirk 1–2 Dundee
19 SeptWDundee 2–1 Motherwell

Home and away

ST Mirren at home6 matches: 2W 2D 2L, goals 8–10
Dundee away5 matches: 2W 0D 3L, goals 6–6

ST Mirren vs Dundee: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. ST Mirren: 8th, 14 points from 12 matches (4W 2D 6L). Dundee: 5th, 17 points (5W 2D 4L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 28 meetings: ST Mirren 13 wins, Dundee 10 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 38–34.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.5%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 57%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 28; ST Mirren 13 wins, 5 draws, Dundee 10 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 57%.
  4. Not available: ST Mirren 0, Dundee 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for ST Mirren: no absences. Not available for Dundee: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

ST Mirren vs Dundee: head to head

All matches
13ST Mirren
5Draws
10Dundee
24/10/26 · ST Mirren 2–1 Dundee
2/5/26 · Dundee 1–0 ST Mirren
31/1/26 · ST Mirren 0–0 Dundee
29/11/25 · Dundee 3–1 ST Mirren
27/9/25 · ST Mirren 1–0 Dundee
5/4/25 · Dundee 2–0 ST Mirren

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.2%

ST Mirren vs Dundee: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for ST Mirren vs Dundee?

On the result, our pick is ST Mirren or draw (1X) (1.42); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for ST Mirren or draw (1X).

Who will win ST Mirren vs Dundee?

As we see it: ST Mirren to win 42%, the draw 26%, Dundee to win 32%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

24 October 2026, 15:00, at The SMISA Stadium, Paisley. Referee: S. McLean.

Who will be missing?

ST Mirren: no absences. Dundee: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 57% chance (odds 1.71), against 43% for under 2.5 (odds 2.22).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.57).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.5%), 2–1 (8.9%), 1–0 (8.5%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

ST Johnstone vs Dundee 7 NovDundee Utd vs Motherwell 7 NovAberdeen vs Hibernian 7 NovST Mirren vs Rangers 7 NovHeart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.