Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
ST Johnstone v Motherwell takes place on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at McDiarmid Park (Perth). We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.61 | 3.60 | 2.83 |
| Market average | 2.53 | 3.43 | 2.73 |
| Lowest odds | 2.45 | 3.32 | 2.65 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.24 | 75.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.82 | 52.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.03 | 1.99 | 47.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.05 | 30.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.14 | 2.09 | 44.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: ST Johnstone 1–1 Motherwell, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: ST Johnstone 7th (14 points), Motherwell 9th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: ST Johnstone 3W 3D 4L (11:15), Motherwell 2W 2D 6L (11:18).
- H2H: 58 matches: ST Johnstone 25W 11D 22L, goals 78–82.
- Absences: ST Johnstone 0, Motherwell 0.
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: injuries, suspensions, absences
ST Johnstone
- No reported absences
Motherwell
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
ST Johnstone
Home and away
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. ST Johnstone: 7th, 14 points from 12 matches (3W 5D 4L). Motherwell: 9th, 12 points (3W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: ST Johnstone 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded, Motherwell 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. ST Johnstone: 3W 3D 4L, goals 11–15; Motherwell: 2W 2D 6L, goals 11–18.
- Head to head. Head to head over 58 meetings: ST Johnstone 25 wins, Motherwell 22 wins, plus 11 draws; goals 78–82.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.1%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.70), with a probability of 56% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 58; ST Johnstone 25 wins, 11 draws, Motherwell 22 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.8 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: ST Johnstone 11–15, Motherwell 11–18.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Not available: ST Johnstone 0, Motherwell 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 56%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for ST Johnstone: no absences. Not available for Motherwell: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
ST JohnstoneDDLDWMotherwellWDLLLST Johnstone vs Motherwell: head to head
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ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
On the result, our pick is ST Johnstone or draw (1X) (1.44); on goals, Both teams to score (1.70). Prefer less risk? Go for ST Johnstone or draw (1X).
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
As we see it: ST Johnstone to win 38%, the draw 28%, Motherwell to win 35%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
28 October 2026, 19:45, at McDiarmid Park, Perth.
Who will be missing?
ST Johnstone: no absences. Motherwell: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.86), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 2.03).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.70).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.1%), 1–0 (8.9%), 0–1 (8.6%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.