Bet with MINO CASINO →Manchester United and Aston Villa meet on 8 November 2026 · 16:30 at Old Trafford (Manchester). We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Manchester United vs Aston Villa: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.32 | 3.94 | 3.02 |
| Market average | 2.24 | 3.69 | 2.91 |
| Lowest odds | 2.19 | 3.33 | 2.68 |
| Megapari | 2.32 | 3.95 | 3.02 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 80.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.64 | 1.59 | 59.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.34 | 40.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.44 | 39.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.49 | 62.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.51 | 37.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:38. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.2%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Manchester United 1–1 Aston Villa, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Manchester United 17th (7 points), Aston Villa 9th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Manchester United 1W 4D 4L (10:15), Aston Villa 3W 3D 3L (10:13).
- H2H: 29 matches: Manchester United 20W 6D 3L, goals 61–28.
- Absences: Manchester United 0, Aston Villa 0.
Who will win Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Manchester United vs Aston Villa: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Manchester United vs Aston Villa: injuries, suspensions, absences
Manchester United
- No reported absences
Aston Villa
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Manchester United vs Aston Villa: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 10 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 11 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3-2-3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 13 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 14 |  Everton | 8 | 2-4-2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Manchester United
Home and away
Manchester United vs Aston Villa: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Manchester United: 17th, 7 points from 9 matches (1W 4D 4L). Aston Villa: 9th, 12 points (3W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Manchester United 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded, Aston Villa 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Manchester United: 1W 4D 4L, goals 10–15; Aston Villa: 3W 3D 3L, goals 10–13.
- Head to head. Head to head over 29 meetings: Manchester United 20 wins, Aston Villa 3 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 61–28.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
The two signals clash: on table position the Aston Villa look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 63% and over 2.5 goals is 60%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 29; Manchester United 20 wins, 6 draws, Aston Villa 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.1 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Manchester United 10–15, Aston Villa 10–13.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Not available: Manchester United 0, Aston Villa 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 63%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Manchester United: no absences. Not available for Aston Villa: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Manchester United vs Aston Villa: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Manchester UnitedLLDDDAston VillaDWWDWManchester United vs Aston Villa: head to head
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Manchester United vs Aston Villa: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
On the result, our pick is Manchester United or draw (1X) (1.44); on goals, Both teams to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Manchester United or draw (1X).
Who will win Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
As we see it: Manchester United to win 42%, the draw 26%, Aston Villa to win 32%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
8 November 2026, 16:30, at Old Trafford, Manchester.
Who will be missing?
Manchester United: no absences. Aston Villa: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 60% chance (odds 1.64), against 40% for under 2.5 (odds 2.47).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.9%), 2–1 (9.0%), 1–0 (7.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.