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UEFA Champions League · league phase, matchday 4 · 4 November 2026 · 20:00

Lens vs Como tip, odds and prediction, 4 November 2026, UEFA Champions League

LLW
VS
WLW
1Lens3.07
XDraw4.13
2Como2.27

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 00:30

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Lens and Como meet on 4 November 2026 · 20:00 at Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens). We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Lens vs Como: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Como (X2)
1.43
Goals
Both teams to score
1.50
68%chance of the result
64%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Lens vs Como: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.074.132.27
Market average2.963.822.19
Lowest odds2.803.462.06
Megapari3.074.012.27
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.181.1481.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.551.5261.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.522.4738.1%
Over 3.5 goals2.412.3141.1%
BTTS – yes1.501.4564.2%
BTTS – no2.702.6035.8%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 00:30. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.7%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 12:56. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Lens 1–1 Como, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Lens 27th (3 points), Como 9th (6 points).
  • Form in the competition: Lens 1W 0D 2L (3:7), Como 2W 0D 1L (10:5).
  • Absences: Lens 6, Como 8.

Who will win Lens vs Como?

Lens32%
Draw25%
Como43%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Lens vs Como: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals81.7% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.18
Likely
Draw or Como (X2)68.0% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.43
Likely
Both teams score: yes64.2% · fair odds 1.56 · best 1.50
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.9% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.55
Likely
Under 3.5 goals58.9% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.66
Possible
Como to win43.2% · fair odds 2.31 · best 2.27
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals41.1% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.41
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.1% · fair odds 2.62 · best 2.52
Outsider
Both teams score: no35.8% · fair odds 2.80 · best 2.70
Outsider
Lens to win32.0% · fair odds 3.13 · best 3.07
Outsider
Draw24.8% · fair odds 4.03 · best 4.13
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.6%
1 : 29.0%
2 : 17.7%
0 : 17.3%
2 : 26.5%
1 : 06.2%

Lens vs Como: injuries, suspensions, absences

Lens

  • J. Chavezabsence · will miss the match
  • O. Edouardgroin injury · will miss the match
  • I. Ganiouknee injury · will miss the match
  • I. Jourdrennot in the squad · will miss the match
  • M. Nawrockiknee injury · will miss the match
  • A. Simamuscle injury · will miss the match

Como

  • J. Addaimuscle injury · will miss the match
  • T. Chalobahinjury · will miss the match
  • A. Diaothigh injury · will miss the match
  • E. Goldaniganot in the squad · will miss the match
  • W. Kambwalanot in the squad · will miss the match
  • M. Keanabsence · will miss the match
  • A. Lahdonot in the squad · will miss the match
  • J. Rodriguezinjury · will miss the match

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Lens vs Como: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain33-0-014:59
2Aston Villa33-0-012:39
3Liverpool33-0-012:79
4Real Madrid33-0-010:59
5Real Betis33-0-07:49
6VfB Stuttgart32-1-07:27
7Arsenal32-1-06:27
8Barcelona32-0-111:66
9Como32-0-110:56
10Manchester City32-0-19:56
11Club Brugge KV32-0-19:66
12Sporting CP32-0-17:46
13Borussia Dortmund32-0-15:46
14Bayern München31-2-010:55
15AS Roma31-1-18:54
16Atlético Madrid31-1-14:34
17Shakhtar Donetsk31-1-14:34
18PSV Eindhoven31-1-12:24
19Villarreal31-0-28:83
20Inter31-0-25:63
21Manchester United31-0-25:63
22Napoli31-0-25:73
23Galatasaray31-0-26:93
24Lask Linz31-0-26:93
25Sabah FA31-0-23:63
26Feyenoord31-0-24:83
27Lens31-0-23:73
28Bodø/Glimt31-0-24:93
29AEK Athens FC31-0-23:83
30RB Leipzig31-0-23:83
31Fenerbahçe30-2-13:92
32Slavia Praha30-1-24:71
33Viking30-1-25:91
34FC Porto30-0-32:60
35Lille30-0-34:100
36Slovan Bratislava30-0-31:130

Recent matches

Lens

30 OctLLille 1–0 Lens
24 OctWLens 2–1 Paris FC
21 OctLClub Brugge KV 3–0 Lens
17 OctWEstac Troyes 1–3 Lens
13 OctLLens 0–2 Sporting CP

Como

1 NovWComo 1–0 Venezia
27 OctWTorino 1–3 Como
24 OctWComo 2–0 Sassuolo
21 OctWComo 4–1 Manchester United
18 OctWFiorentina 1–3 Como

Home and away

Lens at home1 match: 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–2
Como away1 match: 0W 0D 1L, goals 2–3

Lens vs Como: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Lens: 27th, 3 points from 3 matches (1W 0D 2L). Como: 9th, 6 points (2W 0D 1L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Lens 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded, Como 3.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Lens: 1W 0D 2L, goals 3–7; Como: 2W 0D 1L, goals 10–5.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.6%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 64% and over 2.5 goals is 62%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. This competition, scored–conceded: Lens 3–7, Como 10–5.
  2. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 62%.
  3. Not available: Lens 6, Como 8.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 64%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Lens: J. Chavez, O. Edouard, I. Ganiou, I. Jourdren, M. Nawrocki, A. Sima. Not available for Como: J. Addai, T. Chalobah, A. Diao, E. Goldaniga, W. Kambwala, M. Kean, A. Lahdo, J. Rodriguez. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Lens vs Como: the numbers side by side

LensComo
33%Form67%
23%Attack77%
42%Defence58%
32.7%Overall67.3%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

LensLLW
ComoWLW

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.7%

Lens vs Como: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Lens vs Como?

On the result, our pick is Draw or Como (X2) (1.43); on goals, Both teams to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Como (X2).

Who will win Lens vs Como?

As we see it: Lens to win 32%, the draw 25%, Como to win 43%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

4 November 2026, 20:00, at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens.

Who will be missing?

Lens: J. Chavez, O. Edouard, I. Ganiou, I. Jourdren, M. Nawrocki, A. Sima. Como: J. Addai, T. Chalobah, A. Diao, E. Goldaniga, W. Kambwala, M. Kean, A. Lahdo, J. Rodriguez. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 62% chance (odds 1.55), against 38% for under 2.5 (odds 2.52).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 64% (odds 1.50).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.6%), 1–2 (9.0%), 2–1 (7.7%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP 3 NovGalatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart 3 NovManchester United vs AS Roma 3 NovFeyenoord vs Inter 3 NovBodø/Glimt vs Lille 3 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.