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Eredivisie · Matchweek 13 · 21 November 2026 · 20:00

Groningen vs Heerenveen tip, odds and prediction, 21 November 2026, Eredivisie

1Groningen2.22
XDraw3.98
2Heerenveen2.95

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 03:16

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Groningen entertain Heerenveen on 21 November 2026 · 20:00 at Euroborg (Groningen). We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Groningen vs Heerenveen: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Groningen or draw (1X)
1.42
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.45
68%chance of the result
67%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match

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Groningen vs Heerenveen: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.223.982.95
Market average2.173.852.89
Lowest odds2.153.702.80
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.141.1184.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.451.4166.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.882.8133.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.072.0346.6%
BTTS – yes1.401.3767.3%
BTTS – no2.902.8332.7%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:16. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Groningen 1–1 Heerenveen, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Groningen 8th (15 points), Heerenveen 7th (18 points).
  • Absences: Groningen 0, Heerenveen 0.

Who will win Groningen vs Heerenveen?

Groningen43%
Draw24%
Heerenveen32%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Groningen vs Heerenveen: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals84.4% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.14
Likely
Groningen or draw (1X)67.6% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.42
Likely
Both teams score: yes67.3% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.40
Likely
Over 2.5 goals66.6% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.45
Likely
Under 3.5 goals53.4% · fair odds 1.87 · best 1.81
Possible
Over 3.5 goals46.6% · fair odds 2.14 · best 2.07
Outsider
Groningen to win43.2% · fair odds 2.32 · best 2.22
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals33.4% · fair odds 3.00 · best 2.88
Outsider
Both teams score: no32.7% · fair odds 3.06 · best 2.90
Outsider
Heerenveen to win32.4% · fair odds 3.08 · best 2.95
Outsider
Draw24.4% · fair odds 4.10 · best 3.98
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 19.4%
2 : 18.7%
1 : 27.5%
2 : 27.0%
1 : 05.9%
2 : 05.4%

Groningen vs Heerenveen: injuries, suspensions, absences

Groningen

  • No reported absences

Heerenveen

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Groningen vs Heerenveen: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Feyenoord117-4-033:1225
2Ajax117-3-130:1324
3PSV Eindhoven117-2-235:1323
4Twente117-2-228:1023
5AZ Alkmaar116-2-320:1320
6Fortuna Sittard115-4-218:1819
7Heerenveen115-3-319:1318
8Groningen114-3-426:2415
9Cambuur114-3-423:2215
10GO Ahead Eagles113-5-323:2714
11Sparta Rotterdam113-3-520:2612
12Utrecht113-3-519:3112
13NEC Nijmegen112-5-417:1911
14PEC Zwolle113-2-612:2311
15Excelsior113-2-616:2811
16Telstar112-3-616:239
17ADO Den Haag111-3-713:246
18Willem II110-2-910:392

Recent matches

Groningen

1 NovLGroningen 2–3 Sparta Rotterdam
25 OctDNEC Nijmegen 2–2 Groningen
18 OctLGroningen 2–5 Ajax
11 OctWExcelsior 1–5 Groningen
18 SeptWGroningen 3–0 PEC Zwolle

Heerenveen

31 OctWHeerenveen 1–0 NEC Nijmegen
24 OctWADO Den Haag 2–3 Heerenveen
16 OctWHeerenveen 4–0 Excelsior
9 OctLPSV Eindhoven 2–0 Heerenveen
19 SeptWSparta Rotterdam 0–4 Heerenveen

Home and away

Groningen at home6 matches: 2W 1D 3L, goals 13–14
Heerenveen away5 matches: 2W 2D 1L, goals 11–8

Groningen vs Heerenveen: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Groningen: 8th, 15 points from 11 matches (4W 3D 4L). Heerenveen: 7th, 18 points (5W 3D 3L).

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (9.4%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.45), with a probability of 67% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 67% and over 2.5 goals is 67%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 67%.
  2. Not available: Groningen 0, Heerenveen 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 53%, odds up to 1.81). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Groningen: no absences. Not available for Heerenveen: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Groningen vs Heerenveen: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Groningen vs Heerenveen?

On the result, our pick is Groningen or draw (1X) (1.42); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.45). Prefer less risk? Go for Groningen or draw (1X).

Who will win Groningen vs Heerenveen?

As we see it: Groningen to win 43%, the draw 24%, Heerenveen to win 32%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

21 November 2026, 20:00, at Euroborg, Groningen.

Who will be missing?

Groningen: no absences. Heerenveen: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 67% chance (odds 1.45), against 33% for under 2.5 (odds 2.88).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 67% (odds 1.40).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (9.4%), 2–1 (8.7%), 1–2 (7.5%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle 6 NovFortuna Sittard vs Telstar 7 NovADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam 7 NovExcelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles 7 NovHeerenveen vs Feyenoord 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.